Similar to my prior interviews on SBUX, I found it easy to make the bear case for a stock that is as expensive as Starbucks (SBUX). As my regular readers know, when I say "expensive", I back that up with details such as: to justify its $40 stock price (closing price from prior day), SBUX had to grow profits at 10% compounded annually for more than 25 years.
I recommend investors avoid all energy sector ETFs. There are no ETFs in the energy sector with an attractive-or-better rating from my methodology at New Constructs. None of the ETFs rank better than the S&P500.
Investors should sell all dangerous-rated energy sector ETFs. The five ETFs below are the worst-rated of all energy sector ETFs:
We recommend investors short the KBW Bank ETF (KBE) and avoid or sell all other financial sector ETFs. We also rate the investment merit of the top nine financial sector ETFs.
When Morgan Stanley (MS) started in 1935, there were around fifteen employees. For 2010, the company reported 62,542 employees. Bigger is not always better. And for big, publicly-traded companies, big tends to be worse especially when it comes to financial reporting.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) gets our Dangerous Rating. This means CAT’s quality-of-earnings are not attractive and the stock’s valuation is very expensive. For example, the valuation of the current stock price ($112.16) implies the company will grow its profits at 16% compounded annually for 20 years. The takeaway: there are better stocks to choose from. See details in our free report.
2010 earnings for the retail apparel sector have been quite strong, especially compared to 2009. However, looking behind the window dressing of reported earnings, we find that not all earnings are made the same. Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ), retailer of cool, new action apparel turned to an old accounting trick to boost its 2010 earnings by 13%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) gets our Dangerous Rating. This means CAT's quality-of-earnings are not attractive and the stock's valuation it very expensive.
The Risk/Reward of the entire S&P 500 gets our Neutral Rating. Our recently published Index Benchmark report on the S&P 500 offers unique insights into the underlying profitability and valuation of all the companies comprised by this index. It also offers benchmarks for (1) investors considering buying ETFs or Index Funds based on the S&P 500 and for (2) comparing individual stocks to the S&P 500.
The Risk/Reward of the entire Russell 2000 gets our Dangerous Rating. Our recently published Index Benchmark report on the Russell 2000 offers unique insights into the underlying profitability and valuation of all the companies comprised by this index. It also offers benchmarks for (1) investors considering buying ETFs or Index Funds based on the Russell 2000 and for (2) comparing individual stocks to the Russell 2000.
icad (ICAD) gets a Dangerous Rating because of these RED FLAGs:
1. Very Expensive valuation: current stock price implies the company will grow revenues at 20% compounded annually for the next 10 years while also improving ROIC from -3.7% to 1.5% within the same time frame.
2. Option Liabilities: of $2.1mm or 3% of the current market value
3. Asset-write-offs: $4.4mm or 7% of Net Assets