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General Market Comments

Insights on the forces that shape our capital markets and the future of our country.

June 21, 20221Comments

Biggest Valuation Disconnects in the S&P 500

40 companies, or just 8% of companies in the S&P 500, account for 50% of the Core Earnings for the entire S&P 500
by Kyle Guske II
April 8, 20220Comments

1Q22 Earnings: Where Street Estimates Are Too Low & Who Should Beat

Five S&P 500 companies with understated Street estimates likely to beat 1Q22 earnings.
by Kyle Guske II
April 8, 20220Comments

1Q22 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 1Q22 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II
March 8, 20220Comments

Focus List Stocks: Long: Beat the S&P 500 by 35% in 2021

Our Focus List Stocks: Long Model Portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 35% in 2021.
by Kyle Guske II
March 8, 20220Comments

Focus List Stocks: Short: Beat the S&P 500 by 36% in 2021

Our Focus List Stocks: Short Model Portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 36% in 2021.
by Kyle Guske II
February 15, 20220Comments

To Capitalize Expenses or Not? It Doesn’t Matter.

Buyer beware, capitalizing expenses is, largely, a fool’s errand that has no effect on free cash flow.
by Kyle Guske II
January 10, 20220Comments

4Q21 Earnings: Where the Street Is Too Low & Who Should Beat

Insights on which companies are most likely to beat 4Q21 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II
January 10, 20220Comments

4Q21 Earnings: Where the Street is Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 4Q21 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II
December 14, 20210Comments

Write-Downs Continue at Record Low Pace Through First Nine Months of 2021

Write-downs for S&P 500 companies through the first nine months of 2021 remain on pace for the lowest levels seen in 15 years
by Kyle Guske II
October 26, 20210Comments

Digital World Acquisition Is the Culmination of All Meme-Stocks

The bottom line is that owning DWAC at anything close to its current price is not investing, it is gambling.
by Kyle Guske II
October 12, 20210Comments

Write-Downs Near 15-Year Lows Post 2020 “Kitchen Sink”

After taking large write-downs in 2020, S&P 500 companies are on pace to record the lowest amount of write-downs in 15 years.
by Matt Shuler
October 8, 20210Comments

3Q21 Earnings: Where the Street is Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 3Q21 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II
October 8, 20210Comments

3Q21 Earnings: Where the Street Is Too Low & Who Should Beat

Unprecedented insights into why Street Earnings provide a flawed picture of earnings, and five S&P 500 companies likely to beat 3Q21 Street EPS estimates.
by Kyle Guske II
September 13, 20210Comments

Novel Alpha from Truth Stocks & Earnings Distortion: AltHub

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we worked with AltHub to develop three initial strategies.
by David Trainer
September 13, 20210Comments

Novel Alpha from Earnings Distortion: CloudQuant

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we worked with CloudQuant to develop two initial strategies.
by David Trainer
August 20, 20210Comments

Earnings Distortion: The New Value Factor

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we present a long/short market-neutral strategy that generates impressive performance.
by David Trainer
July 16, 20210Comments

Unscrubbed Data Creates Misleading Credit Ratings

Highlighting the five ratios that drive our Credit Ratings and how our data drives materially different results compared to ratios and ratings based on unscrubbed data.
by Matt Shuler
July 14, 20210Comments

Cash to Debt Ratio: Unscrubbed Data Creates Misleading Credit Ratings

This report explains how our “Adjusted” Cash to Debt ratio is better than the “Traditional” ratio because the Traditional ratio is based on unscrubbed financial data.
by Matt Shuler
July 14, 20210Comments

Interest Coverage Ratio: Unscrubbed Data Creates Misleading Credit Ratings

This report explains how our “Adjusted” Interest Coverage ratio is better than the “Traditional” ratio because the Traditional ratio is based on unscrubbed financial data.
by Matt Shuler
July 13, 20210Comments

3 S&P 500 Companies Likely to Miss Wall Street’s 2Q21 EPS Estimates

Insights into which companies are most likely to miss their consensus earnings estimates based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II
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