Skip to content
New Constructs
  • Get Access
  • Education
  • Research
  • Portfolios
  • Ratings
  • Screeners
  • Data

General Market Comments

Insights on the forces that shape our capital markets and the future of our country.

Core Earnings
September 19, 20230Comments

S&P 500 Earnings Projection for 2H23: More Misses than Beats – No Juice Left in the Kitchen Sink

Investors should expect more negative earnings surprises in 2H23 than usual. The numerous earnings beats in 1H23 were artificially set up.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
July 7, 20230Comments

2Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 2Q23 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Most Likely to Beat Earnings
July 5, 20230Comments

2Q23 Earnings: Where Street Estimates Are Too Low & Who Should Beat

Five S&P 500 companies likely to beat calendar 2Q23 earnings because their Street EPS estimates are understated.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
April 12, 20230Comments

1Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 1Q23 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 2, 20220Comments

Join our live podcasts – Fridays at 12pm ET

Please join us for our weekly “Outperform in a Down Year” webinar with you, our clients.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core Earnings
September 15, 20220Comments

S&P 500 Companies Held Back 1H22 Earnings Growth To Show More Growth 2H22

Operating Earnings and GAAP Earnings for S&P 500 companies dropped lower than Core Earnings in 2Q22 for the first time in multiple quarters.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Valuation Disconnect
September 8, 20220Comments

The S&P 500’s Biggest Earners Look Relatively Cheap

Nearly 50% of the S&P 500’s Core Earnings comes from just 41 companies representing only 8% of the number of firms in the index.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core Earnings
July 25, 20220Comments

Traditional Earnings Measures for S&P 500 Overstate True Profits

Using overstated earnings metrics leads investors to understate risk, a fact that has been on grotesque display in equity markets recently.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Valuation Disconnect
June 21, 20221Comments

Biggest Valuation Disconnects in the S&P 500

40 companies, or just 8% of companies in the S&P 500, account for 50% of the Core Earnings for the entire S&P 500
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Performance Update
March 8, 20220Comments

Focus List Stocks: Long: Beat the S&P 500 by 35% in 2021

Our Focus List Stocks: Long Model Portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 35% in 2021.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Performance Update
March 8, 20220Comments

Focus List Stocks: Short: Beat the S&P 500 by 36% in 2021

Our Focus List Stocks: Short Model Portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 by 36% in 2021.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 15, 20220Comments

To Capitalize Expenses or Not? It Doesn’t Matter.

Buyer beware, capitalizing expenses is, largely, a fool’s errand that has no effect on free cash flow.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 14, 20210Comments

Write-Downs Continue at Record Low Pace Through First Nine Months of 2021

Write-downs for S&P 500 companies through the first nine months of 2021 remain on pace for the lowest levels seen in 15 years
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 26, 20210Comments

Digital World Acquisition Is the Culmination of All Meme-Stocks

The bottom line is that owning DWAC at anything close to its current price is not investing, it is gambling.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Sector & Industry Fundamentals
October 12, 20210Comments

Write-Downs Near 15-Year Lows Post 2020 “Kitchen Sink”

After taking large write-downs in 2020, S&P 500 companies are on pace to record the lowest amount of write-downs in 15 years.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
September 13, 20210Comments

Novel Alpha from Truth Stocks & Earnings Distortion: AltHub

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we worked with AltHub to develop three initial strategies.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
September 13, 20210Comments

Novel Alpha from Earnings Distortion: CloudQuant

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we worked with CloudQuant to develop two initial strategies.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
August 20, 20210Comments

Earnings Distortion: The New Value Factor

To enable managers to easily monetize our new factor, we present a long/short market-neutral strategy that generates impressive performance.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
July 16, 20210Comments

Unscrubbed Data Creates Misleading Credit Ratings

Highlighting the five ratios that drive our Credit Ratings and how our data drives materially different results compared to ratios and ratings based on unscrubbed data.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
July 14, 20210Comments

Cash to Debt Ratio: Unscrubbed Data Creates Misleading Credit Ratings

This report explains how our “Adjusted” Cash to Debt ratio is better than the “Traditional” ratio because the Traditional ratio is based on unscrubbed financial data.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
« Older Articles

Search

  • Purchase Reports a la carte
  • Get Direct Access to our Experts
  • —
  • Stock Picking Accolades
  • Get Novel Alpha: Earnings Distortion
  • —
  • Long Ideas
  • Danger Zone (Sell/short ideas)
  • IPO Research
  • Filing Season Finds (forensic accounting in real-time)
  • —
  • Fundamental Market & Sector Trends
  • Sector & Industry Fundamentals
  • General Market Comments
  • —
  • Model Portfolios
  • – Focus List Stocks: Long
  • – Focus List Stocks: Short
  • – Most Attractive Stocks
  • – Most Dangerous Stocks
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Style
  • – Exec Comp Aligned With ROIC
  • – Safest Dividend Yields
  • – Dividend Growth Stocks
  • – Model Portfolio Performance
  • —
  • Media Features & Events
  • Testimonials
  • —
  • Backtest Data Details & Case Studies
  • Investing 101
  • ROIC Drives Equity Valuation
  • – Enterprise Value Optimization
  • DOL Fiduciary Regulation
  • M&A Analysis
  • Accounting Rule Changes
  • Machine Learning & AI for Smarter Investing
  • —
  • How To Use Our Site
  • ICYMI – past issues
  • Get Research Alerts
  • —
  • Company Report Index
  • – Tesla (TSLA) – 25 reports
  • – Netflix (NFLX) – 24 reports
  • – General Motors (GM) – 13 reports
  • – Snap (SNAP) – 12 reports
  • – Disney (DIS) – 10 reports
  • – Intel Corporation (INTC) – 9 reports
  • – Uber (UBER) – 9 reports
  • – Walmart (WMT) – 9 reports
  • – Carvana (CVNA) – 9 reports
  • – Spotify (SPOT) – 9 reports
  • – Beyond Meat (BYND) – 9 reports
  • – Wayfair (W) – 8 reports
  • – DoorDash (DASH) – 8 reports
  • – Target (TGT) – 7 reports
  • – Skechers USA (SKX) – 7 reports
  • – Coinbase (COIN) – 7 reports
  • – Oracle (ORCL) – 7 reports
  • – McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) – 7 reports
  • – HCA Healthcare (HCA) – 7 reports
  • – Peloton (PTON) – 7 reports
  • – AutoZone (AZO) – 6 reports
  • – Valeant (VRX) – 6 reports
  • – Cracker Barrel (CBRL) – 6 reports
  • – JPMorgan (JPM) – 6 reports
  • – Amgen (AMGN) – 5 reports
  • – Best Buy (BBY) – 5 reports
  • – SYSCO Corporation (SYY) – 5 reports
  • – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – 5 reports
  • – Amazon (AMZN) – 6 reports
  • – Verizon Communications (VZ) – 6 reports
  • – GameStop (GME) – 6 reports
  • – Cisco Systems (CSCO) – 6 reports
  • – Discover Financial (DFS) – 6 reports
  • – Alphabet (GOOGL) – 6 reports
  • – John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) – 5 reports
  • – Colgate-Palmolive (CL) – 5 reports
  • – Zendesk (ZEN) – 5 reports
  • – Lam Research Corp (LRCX) – 5 reports
  • – Southwest Airlines (LUV) – 5 reports
  • – Rivian Automotive (RIVN) – 5 reports
  • – Meritage Homes (MTH) – 5 reports
  • – Microsoft (MSFT) – 4 reports
  • – Dropbox (DBX) – 4 reports
  • – NVR Inc. (NVR) – 4 reports
  • – Caterpillar (CAT) – 4 reports
  • – Omnicom Group (OMC) – 4 reports
  • – TrueCar (TRUE) – 4 reports
  • – Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) – 4 reports
  • – HF Sinclair (DINO) – 4 reports
  • – Kimberly-Clark (KMB) – 4 reports
  • – Simon Property Group (SPG) – 4 reports
  • – Lear Corp (LEA) – 4 reports
  • – Thor Industries (THO) – 4 reports
  • – Affirm Holdings (AFRM) – 4 reports
  • – Robinhood Markets (HOOD) – 4 reports
  • – Pinterest (PINS) – 4 reports
  • – Universal Health Services (UHS) – 4 reports
  • – Shopify (SHOP) – 4 reports
  • – Allstate (ALL) – 4 reports
  • – Ford (F) – 4 reports
  • – MasTec Inc. (MTZ) – 4 reports
  • – Box, Inc. (BOX) – 3 reports
  • – Shake Shack (SHAK) – 3 reports
  • – Eventbrite (EB) – 3 reports
  • – Equinix (EQIX) – 3 reports
  • – Cummins (CMI) – 3 reports
  • – AMC Entertainment (AMC) – 3 reports

About Us Testimonials In the News Support Careers General Legal Documentation
Copyright 2023 New Constructs, LLC All Rights Reserved
Registration on or use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.