Smart investors consider more than just the dividend of a stock. They also consider the principal risk. If the principal risk is greater than the dividend yield then the dividend is of no real value. I see the principal risk of this stock at more than 15% with a fair value closer to $50 – after adjusting for the pension accounting shenanigans.
Some stocks are more dangerous than others. In an anemic economic environment, the most dangerous stocks are those with issues that are lurking behind the scenes or in footnotes.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) must overcome $3.7 billion in underfunded pensions plus $6.3 billion in debt ($1.1 billion of which is off balance sheet) before investors could see any upside.
Everyone wants diligence. Few will ever turn it down. The problem is that diligence is expensive. New Constructs makes diligence cost-effective.
When I ran across the recent article “270,033 pages later, a chance to catch our breath…”, I could not help but admire footnoted.org’s marketing moxy.
The article provides a count of the number of pages of 10-K filings that have poured in during the real earnings season. It also highlight a couple of the largest filings. At first glance, it is easy for one to assume that all of the 270,033 pages were also analyzed.
Nearly all of the investing world ignores 10-K season. 10-Ks contain the most important financial information that companies provide all year.
I take great pleasure in recommending investors buy Clorox (CLX) – an attractive-rated stock, not just because of its strong profitability and cheap valuation but also because of the unusually high quality and integrity of its financial reporting.