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Model Portfolio
February 17, 20220Comments

Focus List Stocks: Short – Update 2/17/22

We’ve made the following update to our Focus List Stocks: Short Model Portfolio as of February 17, 2022.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Long Idea
February 16, 20220Comments

Profits in Mirrors Are Larger Than They Appear

Despite fears of product obsolescence, demand for rearview mirrors will persist with the demand for self-driving capabilities.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
Long Idea
February 16, 20220Comments

Configured for Continued Profit Growth

Our “See Through the Dip” thesis has proven true as the firm’s operations and economic earnings recover from the COVID-19-induced “dip”.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
Long Idea
February 16, 20220Comments

Building Scale and Profits

Despite its large outperformance, this stock could be worth $181+/share – another 100%+ upside.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
February 15, 20220Comments

To Capitalize Expenses or Not? It Doesn’t Matter.

Buyer beware, capitalizing expenses is, largely, a fool’s errand that has no effect on free cash flow.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 14, 20220Comments

The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes (Feb 2022)

Quarterly earnings season may be winding down, but the real earnings season – annual 10-K filing season – is ramping up
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
February 14, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why Ignoring Footnotes Could Land Your Portfolio in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
ICYMI
February 11, 20220Comments

ICYMI: New Long Idea, Sell Peloton Rumors, Affirm’s Earnings Fallout, 5 More Falling Knives, Featured in Barron’s & Model Portfolio Updates

Here's what happened at New Constructs this past week.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
February 11, 20220Comments

Barron’s Features our Research on Affirm Holdings’ Overvalued Stock

Barron’s featured research from our report, Affirm’s Results Affirm Our Thesis: Sell This Stock.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 11, 20220Comments

Affirm’s Results Affirm Our Thesis: Sell This Stock

We are not surprised to see the company guide expectations lower for revenue and profits and the stock has much farther to fall.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Model Portfolio
February 11, 20220Comments

Exec Comp Aligned with ROIC Model Portfolio: February 2022

Platinum Members and higher can access January's Executive Compensation Aligned With ROIC Model Portfolio as of Friday, February 11.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Featured Stocks in MAMD Portfolios
February 9, 20220Comments

Featured Stocks in February’s Most Attractive/Most Dangerous Model Portfolios

See two of the featured stocks from this month’s model portfolios.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
February 9, 20220Comments

Fade the Rumors on Peloton Before the Market Sells the News

Acquiring Peloton (PTON) anywhere close to its current valuation would be a poor use of capital.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Long Idea
February 9, 20220Comments

Too Big To Fail Goes High-Tech

Despite struggles to launch new products, rising geopolitical pressure, and increased competition, this company is making the necessary investments to address the challenges it faces.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
February 9, 20220Comments

Netflix is Disney Without a Business Plan – SumZero

We joined SumZero’s Divya Narenda to discuss our reverse DCF model and what it says about the expectations baked into Netflix’s (NFLX) stock.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 7, 20220Comments

Another Falling Knife That Could Cut Your Portfolio – Part 5

This stock has dropped 40%+ from all-time highs, yet still carries at least 40% additional downside risk. Part 5.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 7, 20220Comments

Another Falling Knife That Could Cut Your Portfolio – Part 4

This stock has dropped 40%+ from all-time highs, yet still carries at least 40% additional downside risk. Part 4.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 7, 20220Comments

Another Falling Knife That Could Cut Your Portfolio – Part 3

This stock has dropped 40%+ from all-time highs, yet still carries at least 40% additional downside risk. Part 3.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 7, 20220Comments

Another Falling Knife That Could Cut Your Portfolio – Part 2

This stock has dropped 40%+ from all-time highs, yet still carries at least 40% additional downside risk. Part 2.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 7, 20220Comments

Another Falling Knife That Could Cut Your Portfolio – Part 1

This stock has dropped 40%+ from all-time highs, yet still carries at least 40% additional downside risk. Part 1.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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