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David Trainer’s E-Letters

February 27, 20250Comments

A Terrible Business With An Incredibly Optimistic Valuation

Do you ever wonder how disconnected a stock’s valuation can possibly get from the fundamentals of the underlying business?
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
February 26, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about Spotify’s (SPOT) Valuation

Let me show you how much downside risk is in a stock as hyped up as Spotify.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
February 14, 20250Comments

Mr. Market Thinks Amazon Will Rule The World

When you look under the hood of the stock’s valuation, you see that the market’s expectations for future cash flows are shockingly high.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
February 4, 20250Comments

Comparing the Cash Flow Expectations for IonQ (IONQ) to the Biggest Companies in the S&P 500

Putting context around the future cash flows baked into the current stock price an be very illuminating.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

Don’t Buy Rambus (RMBS) Until After You Watch This Video

Sometimes stocks are expensive, and sometimes they are ridiculously expensive. What we found might shock you.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about the Value of Quantum Computing Inc.

What we found might shock you. I know I was surprised to see just how much future success was priced into QUBT.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 28, 20250Comments

DeepSeek Is a Wake-Up Call for NVIDIA and Other Hype Stocks

Companies rarely enjoy monopolies, not even hyped-up tech companies.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 27, 20250Comments

Dark Pools Have Taken Over The Market

As if Wall Street needed another way to hide the truth from investors.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
January 24, 20250Comments

Measure the Potential Impacts of Tariffs On Your Stocks

I used our best-in-class DCF modeling tools to create scenarios that captured the valuation impact of tariffs that help or hurt margins and revenues.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
December 4, 20240Comments

Hope Is Not a (Micro) Strategy

Reporters from the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg calling me to ask about Michael Saylor’s bitcoin strategy is a sign that the markets are not entirely lost to speculative fervor.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
November 7, 20240Comments

Beware of AI Fakes

Some companies will do anything to boost their stock price, including trying to link themselves to a hot theme regardless of whether that link has merit.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
September 19, 20240Comments

Why Truth Matters

I am not only going to show you how companies try to hide the truth from investors, but I am also going to show you how to turn the tables on them.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
September 4, 20240Comments

My Secret Weapon for Calling the Top in NVDA

I am going to show you my secret weapon for calling the top in the most important stock in the market.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
August 13, 20240Comments

Humility Matters, Too

Can you put a price on honesty? Can you put a price on humility? I think humility is absolutely essential to being a successful investor and analyst.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
August 6, 20240Comments

Valuation Doesn’t Matter…Until It Does

You've seen this Wall Street movie before. The question is: how many more times do you need to see it before you stop falling for it?
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
July 24, 20240Comments

Fake News Is Cheap for a Reason

Wall Street might be the OG of fake news. You deserve better, and I am going to show you how to get it.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
July 18, 20240Comments

The Trump Trade No One Is Talking About

The Trump Trade that no one else is talking about sees the market losing the liquidity boost that’s driven it up so much the last several years.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
July 9, 20240Comments

Fake Numbers, An Old Wall Street Trick that Still Works

Among the many unsettling practices I saw back then, the worst was the two sets of earnings estimates.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
June 28, 20240Comments

Time to get out the popcorn…Not

Whoever wins the White House, the song remains the same at New Constructs: diligence matters.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
June 18, 20240Comments

Not Buying Tom Brady’s HOF Speech

I like to believe in a world based on reciprocity and karma: you get what you deserve; what goes around comes around.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
« Older Articles

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