There are many ways to define the quality and merit of equity research. One measure stands tallest: performance of stock recommendations. And by that measure, New Constructs’ research is of very high quality. See our latest Proof Is In Performance Thru 3Q14 Report for more details.
As you can see in the post on our stock-picking accolades, we have plenty of independent, 3rd-party validation of our stock-picking success. So, you don’t just have to take our word for it.
Our success comes from being able to identify groups of stocks that are most likely to be re-priced as the market, over time, rectifies misperceptions of economic value created by investors employing less analytical rigor than we. We derive our advantage from the in-depth analysis of financial statements, especially the notes to the financial statements, which we apply to the analysis of the underlying economic value of 3000 firms. We believe our exacting approach to research gives us advantage in the selection of individual securities for our long and short portfolios.
For the third quarter of 2014, our Large Cap Short strategy (+5.9%) beat the Short S&P 500 (+1.3%) by 4.6%. Our Large Cap Long/Short strategy (+3.5%) outperformed the Risk-Free Rate (+0.0%) by 3.5%, and our Small Cap Short strategy (8.8%) beat the Short Russell 2000 (8.4%) by 0.4%.
The cumulative returns of our recommendations since January 2005:
Long/Short Strategies:
- Most Attractive/Dangerous (Large and Small cap stocks): 70.6%
- Most Attractive/Dangerous (Large cap stocks only): 68.3%
- Most Attractive/Dangerous (Small cap stocks only): 62.2%
Long Strategies:
- Most Attractive (Large and Small cap stocks): 138.0%
- Most Attractive (Large cap stocks only): 142.7%
- Most Attractive (Small cap stocks only): 122.0%
Short Strategies:
- Most Dangerous (Large and Small cap stocks): -53.1%
- Most Dangerous (Large cap stocks only): -50.2%
- Most Dangerous (Small cap stocks only): -68.9%
These returns compare well to the major indices over the same time frame:
- S&P 500: 65.3%
- Russell 2000: 79.7%
- Risk-Free Rate: 15.5%