October 2, 20190Comments

This Cash Cow Still Has Upside

This firm has successfully adapted to numerous technological changes over its 150+ years of existence, and investors are underrating its resilience.

by Sam McBride

September 11, 20191Comments

Doomsday Valuation Makes This Retailer a Buy

The expectations baked into this retailer's stock remain overly pessimistic in the face of the company’s strong fundamentals.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

June 5, 20190Comments

This Retail Giant Is Firing on All Cylinders

This retail giant has been one of the largest and most profitable companies in the sector for decades and it continues to invest in e-commerce and the consumer experience.

by Sam McBride

May 29, 20190Comments

Ignore the Noise and Stick with This Undervalued Stock

Despite short-term concerns, this company’s long-term profit growth remains strong and investors are overlooking a stock with quality risk/reward.

by Sam McBride

January 31, 20190Comments

The Fed Is Irrelevant: Low Interest Rates Are the New Normal

We believe Jerome Powell's announcement that the Fed is not planning to raise rates in the immediate future validates the key points we made over two years ago.

by Sam McBride

January 28, 20192Comments

Reality Is Closing in on Netflix

Investors are losing patience with Netflix’s extraordinary cash flow burn. Time is running out for Netflix’s current business model to work.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

May 11, 20180Comments

See Us on Real Vision TV Talking Retail’s Revival

David Trainer sat down with Alyona Minkovski of Real Vision TV to talk about our recent Long Idea “Rising from the Ashes to Lead a New Retail Paradigm.”

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 25, 20180Comments

Rising from the Ashes to Lead a New Retail Paradigm

The market has recognized some of the turnaround (shares are up 40% in the past year), but investors are missing the critical role the firm could play in the next chapter of retail as well as the balance sheet story.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 2, 20181Comments

How Much Should Investors Pay for Spotify?

To help investors sort through the confusion, we present three different proposed valuations for Spotify based on three different scenarios of growth and profitability.

by Sam McBride

January 17, 20184Comments

The Market Doesn’t Appreciate This Tech Company’s Growth

Strong profit growth and a cheap valuation earn this stock a spot in January’s Most Attractive Stocks List and make it this week’s Long Idea.

by Sam McBride

October 10, 20170Comments

See Us on CNBC Discussing Wal-Mart

New Constructs CEO, David Trainer, joins CNBC’s Closing Bell to discuss Wal-Mart’s business, the competitive landscape, and its current valuation.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

June 19, 20170Comments

Winner & Losers from Amazon’s Proposed Purchase of Whole Foods

While this deal certainly could be good for AMZN, we believe the market may be ignoring some of Whole Foods Market’s off-balance sheet liabilities that make this acquisition more expensive than it appears.

by Sam McBride

June 14, 20170Comments

The Fed Can’t Wish Inflation Into Existence

Even with inflation running below target, the Fed chose to raise interest rates again. The Fed’s influence is overstated, but it’s still troubling that major policymakers are acting on such an outdated view of the economy.

by Sam McBride

June 13, 20172Comments

Netflix’s Costly Business Model Proves Unsustainable

The surfacing of this ugly truth could be a catalyst for more investors to question the viability of Netflix’s business model and to send NFLX shares to a more rational level.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

January 3, 20170Comments

Stock Faceoff: Giants of Retail

On the back of a strong holiday season, retailers are back in the spotlight. To start out the new year, we want to take the time to circle back to two of our previous long ideas on some of the giants in the retail industry.

by Sam McBride

September 26, 20162Comments

The Fed Is Irrelevant: Low Interest Rates Are the New Normal

It’s time to consider a new paradigm for interest rates – a paradigm where treasury rates remain ultra low and riskier investments are priced by a decentralized market instead of a central bank.

by Sam McBride

September 22, 20163Comments

How The Internet Economy Killed Inflation

The internet economy may be in the early stages of transforming our daily lives, but it’s already wreaking havoc on economic policy. As mentioned at the top of this piece, the Fed cannot manage to hit its 2% inflation target no matter how hard it tries, so maybe it should stop trying.

by Sam McBride

September 19, 20160Comments

Netflix: Is the Music Slowing Down?

Issues include: unprofitable international expansion, dwindling competitive advantages, and a sky-high stock valuation. For a long time, the market has largely ignored these concerns. When investors finally accept the truth about this company and stock, Netflix (NFLX) could be in for a big sell-off.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 16, 20160Comments

Market Outlook For 2016

I think we are seeing the start of that process in late 2015 and early 2016. The combination of a slowdown in China, falling energy prices, and the end of zero interest rate policy from the Fed have put markets and the global economy in an interesting state of transition.

by Sam McBride

December 14, 20151Comments

Danger Zone: Qlik Technologies (QLIK)

Despite deteriorating margins, lack of competitive advantage, and a sky-high valuation, Qlik Technologies (QLIK: $31/share) is up nearly 33% over the past two years and finds itself in the Danger Zone this week.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

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