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Danger Zone

June 1, 20170Comments

Closing Danger Zone Pick: Zoe’s Kitchen (ZOES) After 43% Gain

We think the downside risk in Zoe's Kitchen (ZOES) is diminished and are closing this position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 31, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Overlooking This Homebuilder Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 22, 20171Comments

Position Update: Long Idea and Danger Zone Research

We provide a synopsis on the current state of all Long Idea and Danger Zone research published to date.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 9, 20170Comments

Danger Zone Update: Pandora Media (P)

Danger Zone Pick, Pandora Media, down 18% since publish date (S&P up 1% over same time), recently announced it is looking into “strategic alternatives, including a possible sale.” Accordingly, we think the downside risk here is diminished and are closing this position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 8, 20170Comments

A Cautionary Tale on Sell-Side Ratings

A recent analysis reported that the percentage of newly issued ratings of “sell” or “underweight” was only 5% of the total. This phenomenon is not new to regular market followers, and it was on full display surrounding the IPO of Snapchat (SNAP).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 25, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Overlooking This Retailer Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 24, 20170Comments

David Trainer on CNBC to Discuss Chipotle (CMG)

Tune into CNBC on Tuesday, April 25, at 3:45pm EST. New Constructs CEO, David Trainer, will discuss Chipotle’s valuation and the implied market expectations embedded in the stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 6, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Verint Systems Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Verint Systems (VRNT).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 3, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Verint Systems (VRNT)

This firm has seen seen margins contract as early success brought more competition. To try and offset competitors taking market share, the firm made numerous shareholder value-destroying acquisitions. Now the stock is pricing in aggressively optimistic improvements in revenue growth and profit margins.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
March 30, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why ICON Energy Fund Is In The Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: ICON Energy Fund.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 27, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: ICON Energy Fund

This fund is one of the most expensive Energy funds with over $100 million in assets. All told, its high fees and overvalued holdings land it in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 23, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why LivePerson Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: LivePerson Inc. (LPSN).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 20, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: LivePerson Inc. (LPSN)

This Danger Zone pick has seen its profitability decline as new competition has entered the scene. As the market commoditized, this firm’s negative margins and limited service offering undermined its ability to compete.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 16, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Pandora Media Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Pandora Media (P).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 13, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Pandora Media (P)

We think the ship has sailed on this business, but the stock is still pricing in huge improvements in profitability and market share. Pandora Media (P) is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 9, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Tableau Software Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Tableau Software (DATA).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 6, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Tableau Software (DATA)

This stock is on the upswing and is up 23% year-to-date, while the S&P is up just 6%. The fundamentals of the business don’t justify this price move. In fact, negative margins, strong competition, and the overvalued stock price land Tableau Software (DATA) in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 2, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Palo Alto Networks Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Palo Alto Networks (PANW).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 1, 20174Comments

Will Investors Look Past Snap’s Hype?

When SNAP first filed for IPO, there was a lot of hype and the original $25 billion valuation quickly fell to $22.5 billion. Is the market so hungry for another tech IPO that it will overlook the dismal fundamentals and nosebleed valuation of SNAP?
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 27, 20175Comments

Danger Zone: Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

The fundamentals of this business make it hard to imagine a scenario where this firm can meet the expectations baked into its lofty valuation. For these reasons and more, Palo Alto Networks is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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