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Danger Zone

August 25, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Yelp Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Yelp Inc. (YELP).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 22, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Yelp Inc. (YELP)

Investors have bought into a growth story that not only fails to produce profits, but has proven false in the past. With growing losses, significant competition, and a highly overvalued stock, Yelp Inc. (YELP) is this week’s Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 18, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why 8×8 Is In The Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: 8x8 (EGHT).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 15, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: 8×8 (EGHT)

This week’s Danger Zone is a company that claims consistent profitability and continued success, despite years of shareholder value destruction. Misleading non-GAAP results, large losses, and an overvalued stock price land 8x8 in the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 11, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Ivy Small Cap Value Fund Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Ivy Small Cap Value Fund.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 8, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Ivy Small Cap Value Fund

Ivy Small Cap Value Fund receives our Dangerous or Very Dangerous rating, depending upon share class, and its poor holdings and high fees land it in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
August 5, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Shutterstock Is In The Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Shutterstock (SSTK).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 1, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: Shutterstock (SSTK)

Redistributing others’ content is not only undifferentiated, but also not a winning business strategy. This firm’s content redistribution platform, coupled with declining profits and overvalued stock price land Shutterstock in the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 28, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Mattress Firm Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Mattress Firm (MFRM)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 25, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Mattress Firm (MFRM)

This week’s Danger Zone pick is down 32% year to date, but it is not a good value and carries high downside risk. Unsustainable revenue growth, destructive acquisitions, and declining profits land Mattress Firm (MFRM) in the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 21, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Acadia Healthcare Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Acadia Healthcare (ACHC).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 19, 20160Comments

Netflix’s Competitive Advantage Keeps Dwindling

2Q16 results reinforce our belief that Netflix no longer has a significant competitive advantage. When it tries to raise prices, as it did for many long-time members this quarter, it loses customers to rivals such as HBO (TWX), Amazon Prime Video (AMZN), and Hulu.
by Sam McBride
July 19, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)

This week’s Danger Zone pick has a history of executing a traditional roll-up strategy to great success - if you only care about revenue growth. For those that care about profits, the increasing losses and declining ROIC earn Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) a spot on July’s Most Dangerous Stocks list and the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 19, 20161Comments

Netflix is Not the Only Game in Town

CEO David Trainer appeared on CNBC’s The Rundown on July 18, 2016 to discuss Netflix's 2Q16 quarterly results, the large subscriber growth disappointment, and detail how overvalued the stock remains
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
July 14, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why The TSLA/SCTY Acquisition Is In The Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Bailing Out SolarCity Costs TSLA Investors $7.4 Billion
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 7, 20163Comments

Bailing Out SolarCity Costs TSLA Investors $7.4 Billion

Just how bad is this deal? We crunch the numbers and show that, even in the most optimistic cash flow scenario for SCTY, Tesla should pay no more than $332 million, or $3/share for SolarCity
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 30, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why FireEye Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: FireEye (FEYE)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 27, 20161Comments

Alphabet Should Pay No More Than $1.1 Billion For Twitter

The bottom line is that there is a limit for how much Alphabet should pay for TWTR in order for the deal to be economically profitable. Even in the most optimistic scenario for TWTR’s future cash flows, Alphabet should pay no more than $1.1 billion, or $1.55/share, for Twitter.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 27, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: FireEye Inc. (FEYE)

Many investors saw the recent price decline as a time to buy, and the stock is up 30% since mid-May. With shares now greatly overvalued plus large profit losses and strong competition, FireEye (FEYE) is this week’s Danger Zone pick.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 23, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why ACI Worldwide Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: ACI Worldwide (ACIW).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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