February 24, 20160Comments

How EV/EBITDA Misses The Point On Valuation

In reality, EV/EBITDA can actually be significantly worse than P/E or P/B ratios because EBITDA ignores certain real costs of doing business like taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Put simply, EBITDA is even farther removed from the real cash flows of the business than EPS or net income.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 24, 20160Comments

How To Find The Best Style Mutual Funds 1Q16

Finding the best mutual funds is an increasingly difficult task in a world with so many to choose from. How can you pick with so many choices available?

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 24, 20160Comments

How to Find the Best Style ETFs 1Q16

Finding the best ETFs is an increasingly difficult task in a world with so many to choose from. How can you pick with so many choices available?

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 24, 20160Comments

How to Find the Best Sector Mutual Funds 1Q16

Finding the best sector mutual funds is an increasingly difficult task in a world with so many to choose from. How can you pick with so many choices available?

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 24, 20160Comments

How to Find the Best Sector ETFs 1Q16

Finding the best sector ETFs is an increasingly difficult task in a world with so many to choose from. How can you pick with so many choices available?

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 23, 20160Comments

Cheap Funds Dupe Investors – 1Q16

Fund holdings affect fund performance more than fees or past performance. A cheap fund is not necessarily a good fund. A fund that has done well in the past is not likely to do well in the future. 1Q16.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 23, 20161Comments

Why Investors Need Independent Research

Some of the best research in the world comes from Wall Street. It has long been a leader in providing investors with ideas and strategies for investing. At the same time, it is important not to paint all Wall Street research with the same brush. Not all of Wall Street is the same, and some of the research it produces poses certain risks.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 22, 20160Comments

1Q16 Style Ratings Recap

1Q16 comprehensive review of equity ETFs and mutual funds by style.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 19, 20160Comments

Danger Zone Performance Worth Noting

The market awards the most value to the companies that give the most back. It punishes those that do not create value. Figure 1 shows how well our Danger Zone picks have done.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

Open Letter to Larry Ellison: How To Boost Oracle’s Value By $65 Billion

Thesis: Management can boost the market value of ORCL in the amounts provided by aligning the firm’s strategy and performance compensation with real cash flows or what we call return on invested capital.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

February 18, 20160Comments

New Stocks on Most Attractive and Most Dangerous Lists: February 2016

Our Most Attractive Stocks (-4.4%) underperformed the S&P 500 (-2.6%) last month. Our Most Dangerous Stocks (-6.4%) outperformed the S&P 500 (-2.6%) last month.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

David Trainer Explains Why Post Holdings Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Post Holdings (POST).

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

The Best and Worst of the Small Cap Value Style 1Q16

The Small Cap Value style ranks eleventh out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our 1Q16 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. It gets our Dangerous rating

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

The Best and Worst of the Small Cap Growth Style 1Q16

The Small Cap Growth style ranks last out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our 1Q16 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. It gets our Dangerous rating

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

The Best and Worst of the Small Cap Blend Style 1Q16

The Small Cap Blend style ranks eighth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our 1Q16 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. It gets our Dangerous rating

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 17, 20160Comments

Stocks To Hold Through A Bear Market

It’s time to look beyond technical price movements, earnings estimates, or analyst opinions. The reconciliation between cash flows and valuations has arrived. The market is beginning to distinguish between those companies that earn a quality ROIC and those that do not.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 16, 20160Comments

Market Outlook For 2016

I think we are seeing the start of that process in late 2015 and early 2016. The combination of a slowdown in China, falling energy prices, and the end of zero interest rate policy from the Fed have put markets and the global economy in an interesting state of transition.

by Sam McBride

February 16, 20163Comments

How Buybacks Destroy Shareholder Value

Corporate America has the resources to deploy a large amount of capital and invest in new technologies and innovations that can drive growth. Instead, they just keep spending more and more money on buybacks.

by Sam McBride

February 15, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Post Holdings (POST)

This week’s Danger Zone focuses on another food products business, similar to recent Danger Zone stocks WhiteWave (WWAV) and Snyder's-Lance (LNCE). Large destruction of shareholder value, skyrocketing debt levels, and insufficient returns on invested capital (ROIC) play a part in Post Holdings (POST: $67/share) landing in the Danger Zone this week.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 15, 20160Comments

“LinkedIn Is Still Significantly Overvalued” – Barron’s

This past weekend, Barron’s magazine featured our research for the second time in 2016 and 18th time since 2014. This time, Barron’s featured research from our Danger Zone report, and recent price update on LinkedIn (LNKD).

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

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