The Danger Zone Pick: 11/12/12
JPMorgan Trust II: JPMorgan Large Cap Growth Fund (OLGAX) is in the Danger Zone this week.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Danger Zone
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 11/5/12
Check out my latest Danger Zone interview with Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch.com.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 10/29/12
Check out my latest Danger Zone interview with Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch.com. This week all Small Cap funds are in the Danger Zone.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 10/22/12
Check out my latest Danger Zone interview with Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch.com.
This week, a former member of our Most Dangerous Stocks, is in the Danger Zone.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 10/15/12
This week, the entire Technology mutual fund business is in the Danger Zone.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 10/8/12
Check out my latest Danger Zone interview with Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch.com.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 10/1/12
In my weekly Danger Zone interview with Chuck Jaffe, I highlight one of the worst ETFs in the market as well as my unique analysis of ETFs.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
I Hate the Guts of This ETF: Sell URE
The guts of an ETF are its holdings. And an ETF’s guts are what drive my ETF ratings. As highlighted in Barron’s, the only truly diligent assessment of an ETF is based on its holdings.
Research on an ETF’s holdings is important because an ETF’s performance is only as good as its holdings. Therefore, if you care about performance, you care about the ETF’s holdings.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Sell Life Time Fitness: Valuation Is on Steroids
Working out makes just about everything in my life better. I have more energy, food tastes better and (at least feel as if) I look better. I even think it makes me smarter.I do not feel good about Life Time Fitness (LTM)’s stock, however. The growth expectations in the stock are much too high. And I do not believe in management’s over confident EPS guidance.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 9/24/12
Life Time fitness CEO predicts 15% growth at best.
In my weekly Danger Zone interview, I explain how that expectation, even if it comes true, implies unrealistic member and profit growth.
The
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Don’t Trust This Utility’s Dividend
Smart investors consider more than just the dividend of a stock. They also consider the principal risk. If the principal risk is greater than the dividend yield then the dividend is of no real value. I see the principal risk of this stock at more than 15% with a fair value closer to $50 – after adjusting for the pension accounting shenanigans.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 9/17/12
The impact on valuation: instead of a fair value in the mid $50s, I now see it in the low $40s - about 30% lower than where the stock is today. 30% dwarfs the 4% dividend yield.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 9/11/12
Check you the latest Danger Zone interview on a company employing misleading merger accounting.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
“Earnings Accretion” Is a Mirage: Sell HOLX
Sometimes when I analyze a stock, I am reminded of the marvels that investment bankers can do for their valuations, especially if the company is a good client. With its recent $3.7 billion acquisition of Gen-Probe, I would bet that Hologic (HOLX) made its investment bankers quite happy. Investors, on the contrary, should sell the stock and not be happy with that deal.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The Danger Zone Pick: 9/4/12
My Danger Zone pick this week is also my Stock Pick of the Week. Listen to all the details in my weekly interview with MarketWatch's Chuck Jaffe.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
The “Danger Zone” for Week of 8/27/2012
Really enjoyed my first edition of the "Danger Zone" for Chuck Jaffe's MoneyLife radio show.
MGM Grand (MGM) is in the first stock to put in the Danger Zone.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Citigroup (C) and Bank Of America (BAC) Dropped from Most Dangerous List
For the first time in many months, both Citigroup (C) and Bank Of America (BAC) are not on our Most Dangerous Stocks list as of the release of the August report.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Starbucks (SBUX) Plunge Is Beginning Of Bad Trend
When stocks are priced for perfection as SBUX is, they are very risky. Just look at today's 10%+ drop in SBUX shares in a market that is up 1%.
My regular readers know that I have, for a while, warned investors that SBUX was overpriced and due for a correction. See "Get Off the SBUX Bandwagon Before It Crashes".
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Goldman’s Sell Rating on DAL Follows My Short Call
Yesterday, Goldman Sach's initiated on Delta Airlines (DAL) with a Sell Rating. This stock call comes two months after my note to clients recommending shorting DAL.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO
US Steel (X) At Risk Of Pension Pressure
Some stocks are more dangerous than others. In an anemic economic environment, the most dangerous stocks are those with issues that are lurking behind the scenes or in footnotes.
David Trainer, Founder & CEO