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S&P’s Downgrade Did Us a Favor

Too much of the rhetoric surrounding S&P’s downgrade of US debt misses the largest and most important point made by S&P’s bold move: the U.S. financial situation is very bad and getting worse with no reconciliation in sight. It is difficult to deny the poor credit quality of an entity that grossly overspends its revenues, has a mountain of debt (most of which matures within the next few years) and has taken no meaningful steps toward remedying the situation? By quibbling over S&P’s procedures and calculations, the Treasury and White House reveal that they have no solid rationale for disagreeing with the downgrade.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
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S&P 500 Is Fully Valued

The Risk/Reward of the entire S&P 500 gets our Neutral Rat­ing. Our recently pub­lished Index Bench­mark report on the S&P 500 offers unique insights into the under­ly­ing prof­itabil­ity and val­u­a­tion of all the com­pa­nies com­prised by this index. It also offers bench­marks for (1) investors con­sid­er­ing buy­ing ETFs or Index Funds based on the S&P 500 and for (2) com­par­ing indi­vid­ual stocks to the S&P 500.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
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Stock-Picking Matters More Than Ever

As follow-on to my 3-part Market Outlook series of posts, I am highlighting a quote from GaveKal research's Daily note today which supports my assertion that the "Easy Money Days Are Over" and that success in stock-picking will rely on superior analytical skills as opposed to the market-timing skills that have predominated most of the past 25 years (see Market Outlook Part 1: Rise of the Speculative Movement).
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO