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Danger Zone

New Constructs
December 14, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why John Hancock Small Company Fund is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: John Hancock Small Company Fund (JCSAX).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 11, 20171Comments

A Small Cap Fund Not Worth Your Time

Our Robo-Analyst technology helps investors navigate this high-risk style by sifting through the holdings of all 1495 Small Cap ETFs and mutual funds. Through this diligence, we identified a potentially dangerous fund that traditional, backward-looking fund research may overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
December 7, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Pegasystems is in the Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 4, 20170Comments

No Recipe for Success: Low Margins in a Competitive Industry

This stock’s valuation has not adjusted to reflect new competitive pressures or the rapidly deteriorating fundamentals.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
November 30, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why the Danger Zone is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: The Danger Zone Itself and our Focus List (Short) Model Portfolio.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
November 22, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Diebold Nixdorf is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Diebold Nixdorf (DBD).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 20, 20171Comments

Acquiring Revenue Can Quickly Destroy Shareholder Value

This firm moved to bolster its position within its market by acquiring a competitor in 2016, but it paid too high a price. The expected synergies from the deal have not come to fruition and the profitability of the combined firm has fallen instead of rising.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
November 16, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Morningstar is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Morningstar (MORN).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 13, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Morningstar’s Dominance Harms Investors

We believe that Morningstar’s size and stronghold on the rating industry do not always serve investors’ best interests as much as perceived.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
November 9, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why PDF Solutions is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: PDF Solutions (PDFS).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 7, 20171Comments

TrueCar Has Further to Fall

We warned investors in August that TrueCar’s (TRUE) flawed business model would lead to slower growth and further losses in the future.
by Sam McBride
November 6, 20173Comments

A Troubling Trend: Falling Profits in a Growing Market

The disconnect between fundamentals and valuation, coupled with a weak competitive position, and misaligned executive incentives land this firm in the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
November 2, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why the BlackRock High Equity Income Fund is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: The BlackRock High Equity Income Fund (BMECX).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
October 31, 20170Comments

Closing Danger Zone Pick: Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)

We still don’t recommend the stock to investors, but it no longer has the unbalanced risk/reward profile it once did.
by Sam McBride
October 30, 20170Comments

A Potential Landmine in Large Cap Value Funds

This Fund stands out as a one to avoid within the Large Cap Value style, especially for investors lured by the “equity income” label. It ranks near the bottom of 966 Large Cap Value style ETFs and Mutual Funds under coverage.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
October 26, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why The Ultimate Software Group is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: The Ultimate Software Group (ULTI).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 23, 20170Comments

Market Share Matters Little When Profits Are Disappearing

The risk/reward proposition for investors looks unfavorable due to a combination of industry lagging profitability, alarming expense growth, poorly-aligned executive compensation incentives, and high market-implied expectations for future profits.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
October 12, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why This Real Estate Fund is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Neuberger Berman Real Estate Fund (NREAX).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 9, 20170Comments

A Fund to Avoid in the Newly Rated Real Estate Sector

The Real Estate sector is filled with potential pitfalls and a deeper level of diligence reveals that some of these funds are worse than others.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 5, 20170Comments

Netflix’s Price Increase Signals Original Content Isn’t Enough

We believe the price increase signifies that Netflix’s competitive advantage has been wiped away. In order to justify its massive original content budget, it must raise prices if it is to ever meet the expectations implied by its stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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