Skip to content
New Constructs
  • Get Access
    • Professional Investors
    • Institutional Investors
    • Quantitative Investors
    • Research Reports & Model Portfolios
    • Individual Investors
    • Newsletter
  • Solutions
    • Indices
    • Stock Ratings
    • Credit Ratings
    • Sector Ratings
    • ETF & Mutual Fund Ratings
    • Earnings Distortion Scores
    • Model Portfolios
    • Long & Short Idea Research
    • Macro Fundamental Research
    • Portfolio Tracking & Alert Emails
    • Screening Tools
    • API
    • Excel Add-In
    • Company Models
    • Marked-Up SEC Filings
    • Research Blog
    • Fundamental Data Products
      • Core Earnings & Earnings Distortion
      • Reported Fundamentals
      • Proprietary Adjusted Fundamentals
      • Value Screens/Metrics
      • Enhanced Value Screens/Metrics
  • Blog
  • Community
    • Online Community Forum
      • Join our Online Community
    • Live Video Podcast (Free)
    • Let’s Talk Long Ideas (Members Only)
    • YouTube Channel
    • Education
      • Free Training Sessions
      • Value Investing 2.0
      • Metrics Definitions
      • Rating Methodologies
      • Accounting Loopholes
      • FASB Tracker
      • Company Models
  • Company
    • About Us
    • Customer Testimonials
    • Partnerships
    • Papers & Case Studies
      • Proven-Superior Models
      • Proven-Superior Stock Ratings
      • Novel Alpha in our Proprietary Data
    • Robo-Analyst Technology
    • News & Media Coverage
    • Stock Picking Accolades
    • Careers
  • Members

earnings distortion

April 11, 20250Comments

1Q25 Performance Update: Core Earnings-Weighted S&P 500 Index Beat the S&P 500 by 1%

Is there a better way to prove the alpha in our research than a live, actively-traded index that outperforms the market?
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Danger Zone Podcast
September 30, 20240Comments

Podcast: Why This Stock Likely to Miss Earnings is Back In the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: One Stock Most Likely to Miss 3Q24 Estimates.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
September 27, 20240Comments

One Stock Most Likely to Miss 3Q24 Estimates

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 3Q24 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Most Likely to Beat Earnings
September 25, 20240Comments

One Stock Most Likely to Beat 3Q24 Estimates

Insights on which companies are most likely to beat 3Q24 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Overstated Earnings
September 3, 20240Comments

Street Earnings Overstated for 74% of S&P 500 in 2Q24

Core Earnings show Street Earnings fail to account for a material amount of unusual items, which distorts investors’ view of S&P 500 profitability.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
July 12, 20240Comments

2Q24 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High and Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 2Q24 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Most Likely to Beat Earnings
July 12, 20240Comments

2Q24 Earnings: Where Street Estimates Are Too Low & Who Should Beat

Insights on which companies are most likely to beat 2Q24 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
June 17, 20240Comments

Podcast: Why Ignoring S&P 500 Stocks with Understated Street Earnings Puts You in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: Street Earnings Understated for 29% of S&P 500 in 1Q24.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Overstated Earnings
June 7, 20244Comments

Street Earnings Overstated for 71% of S&P 500 in 1Q24

Five S&P 500 companies with overstated Street Earnings and a Very Unattractive Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Understated Earnings
June 7, 20240Comments

Street Earnings Understated for 29% of S&P 500 in 1Q24

Five S&P 500 companies with understated Street Earnings and an Attractive-or-better Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 23, 20240Comments

New AI Partnership: Chata.ai – Alpha Alerts

We are excited about our partnership with AI leader, Chata.ai, to bring the truth about earnings and valuation to more investors.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
January 9, 20240Comments

4Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 4Q23 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Understated Earnings
December 4, 20230Comments

Street Earnings Understated for 24% of S&P 500 in 3Q23

Five S&P 500 companies with understated Street Earnings and an Attractive-or-better Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Overstated Earnings
December 4, 20230Comments

Street Earnings Overstated for 75% of S&P 500 in 3Q23

Five S&P 500 companies with overstated Street Earnings and a Very Unattractive Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
October 9, 20230Comments

Podcast: Why These Companies Likely to Miss Earnings Are in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: 3Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
October 6, 20230Comments

3Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 3Q23 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core Earnings
September 19, 20230Comments

S&P 500 Earnings Projection for 2H23: More Misses than Beats – No Juice Left in the Kitchen Sink

Investors should expect more negative earnings surprises in 2H23 than usual. The numerous earnings beats in 1H23 were artificially set up.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Understated Earnings
August 29, 20230Comments

Street Earnings Understated for 29% of S&P 500 in 2Q23

Five S&P 500 companies with understated Street Earnings and a Very Attractive Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Overstated Earnings
August 29, 20230Comments

Street Earnings Overstated for 70% of S&P 500 in 2Q23

Five S&P 500 companies with overstated Street Earnings and an Unattractive Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
July 10, 20230Comments

Podcast: Why These Stocks Likely to Miss Earnings Estimates Are in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: 2Q23 Earnings: Where Street Earnings Are Too High & Who Should Miss.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
« Older Articles

Search

  • Free Trainings & Earnings Watch Parties
  • David Trainer’s E-Letters
  • —
  • Long Ideas
  • Danger Zone (Sell/short ideas)
  • IPO Research
  • Footnotes Season Finds
  • —
  • Stock Picking Awards & Media Features
  • Testimonials
  • General Market Comments
  • —
  • Model Portfolios
  • – Focus List Stocks: Long
  • – Focus List Stocks: Short
  • – Most Attractive Stocks
  • – Most Dangerous Stocks
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Style
  • – Exec Comp Aligned With ROIC
  • – Safest Dividend Yields
  • – Dividend Growth Stocks
  • – Model Portfolio Performance
  • —
  • — Training & Education —
  • How To Use Our Site
  • Join Our Online Community
  • Investing 101
  • Backtest Data Details & Case Studies
  • Accounting Rule Changes
  • ROIC Drives Equity Valuation
  • – Enterprise Value Optimization
  • DOL Fiduciary Regulation
  • M&A Analysis
  • Fundamental Macro Trends & Sector Fundamentals
  • Machine Learning & AI for Smarter Investing
  • —
  • Company Report Index
  • – Tesla (TSLA) – 26 reports
  • – Netflix (NFLX) – 24 reports
  • – General Motors (GM) – 15 reports
  • – Snap (SNAP) – 14 reports
  • – Carvana (CVNA) – 11 reports
  • – Disney (DIS) – 10 reports
  • – Intel Corporation (INTC) – 10 reports
  • – Wayfair (W) – 11 reports
  • – Uber (UBER) – 10 reports
  • – Beyond Meat (BYND) – 10 reports
  • – Spotify (SPOT) – 9 reports
  • – Walmart (WMT) – 9 reports
  • – DoorDash (DASH) – 9 reports
  • – Peloton (PTON) – 9 reports
  • – Skechers USA (SKX) – 9 reports
  • – JPMorgan (JPM) – 8 reports
  • – Rivian Automotive (RIVN) – 8 reports
  • – Target (TGT) – 7 reports
  • – Coinbase (COIN) – 7 reports
  • – Oracle (ORCL) – 7 reports
  • – McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) – 7 reports
  • – HCA Healthcare (HCA) – 7 reports
  • – Discover Financial (DFS) – 7 reports
  • – AutoZone (AZO) – 7 reports
  • – Shake Shack (SHAK) – 7 reports
  • – D.R. Horton (DHI) – 7 reports
  • – Meritage Homes (MTH) – 7 reports
  • – Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) – 7 reports
  • – Valeant (VRX) – 6 reports
  • – Cracker Barrel (CBRL) – 6 reports
  • – Best Buy (BBY) – 6 reports
  • – Amazon (AMZN) – 6 reports
  • – Verizon Communications (VZ) – 6 reports
  • – GameStop (GME) – 6 reports
  • – Cisco Systems (CSCO) – 6 reports
  • – Alphabet (GOOGL) – 6 reports
  • – Colgate-Palmolive (CL) – 6 reports
  • – Southwest Airlines (LUV) – 6 reports
  • – Ford (F) – 6 reports
  • – NVR Inc. (NVR) – 6 reports
  • – Affirm Holdings (AFRM) – 6 reports
  • – Amgen (AMGN) – 6 reports
  • – John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) – 5 reports
  • – SYSCO Corporation (SYY) – 5 reports
  • – Zendesk (ZEN) – 5 reports
  • – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – 5 reports
  • – Lam Research Corp (LRCX) – 5 reports
  • – Lear Corp (LEA) – 5 reports
  • – Universal Health Services (UHS) – 5 reports
  • – HF Sinclair (DINO) – 5 reports
  • – Omnicom Group (OMC) – 5 reports
  • – Allstate (ALL) – 5 reports
  • – Dropbox (DBX) – 5 reports
  • – Robinhood Markets (HOOD) – 5 reports
  • – Sweetgreen (SG) – 5 reports
  • – Microsoft (MSFT) – 4 reports
  • – Caterpillar (CAT) – 4 reports
  • – TrueCar (TRUE) – 4 reports
  • – Kimberly-Clark (KMB) – 4 reports
  • – Simon Property Group (SPG) – 4 reports
  • – Thor Industries (THO) – 4 reports
  • – Box, Inc. (BOX) – 4 reports
  • – Pinterest (PINS) – 4 reports
  • – Shopify (SHOP) – 4 reports
  • – MasTec Inc. (MTZ) – 4 reports
  • – AMC Entertainment (AMC) – 4 reports
  • – Eventbrite (EB) – 4 reports
  • – Equinix (EQIX) – 3 reports
  • – Cummins (CMI) – 3 reports

About Us Testimonials In the News Support Careers General Legal Documentation
Copyright 2025 New Constructs, LLC All Rights Reserved
Registration on or use of this site constitutes acknowledgement of our Disclosures and Disclaimers and acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.