April 11, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB)

Our call on Valeant (VRX) showed how dangerous it is to trust non-GAAP earnings because they cannot be used to cover true cash costs. For these reasons and more, Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) lands in the Danger Zone this week.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 18, 20160Comments

Open Letter to Larry Ellison: How To Boost Oracle’s Value By $65 Billion

Thesis: Management can boost the market value of ORCL in the amounts provided by aligning the firm’s strategy and performance compensation with real cash flows or what we call return on invested capital.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

December 14, 20151Comments

Danger Zone: Qlik Technologies (QLIK)

Despite deteriorating margins, lack of competitive advantage, and a sky-high valuation, Qlik Technologies (QLIK: $31/share) is up nearly 33% over the past two years and finds itself in the Danger Zone this week.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

October 22, 20150Comments

The Best and Worst of the All Cap Value Style 4Q15

The All Cap Value style ranks fourth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our 4Q15 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter, the All Cap Value style ranked fifth. It gets our Neutral rating.

by Blaine Skaggs

October 12, 20152Comments

Danger Zone: Proofpoint Inc. (PFPT)

As hacks or data breaches seem to occur almost daily, the cyber security sector is receiving significant attention across the globe. When we focus on fundamentals and cut through the “sector theme” noise, we find some weak links in the cyber security industry. This week's Danger Zone is one of those weak links.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

October 5, 20150Comments

Danger Zone: Marketo (MKTO)

This week we’ve identified another highflying cloud company that exhibits many of the problematic traits we saw in DWRE and SPLK. Revenue growth can only support a stock for so long and this week’s Danger Zone stock, Marketo (MKTO) has plenty of room to fall.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

July 14, 20150Comments

3Q15 Style Ratings for ETFs & Mutual Funds

At the beginning of the third quarter of 2015, only the Large Cap Value and Large Cap Blend styles earn an Attractive-or-better rating. Our style ratings are based on the aggregation of our fund ratings for every ETF and mutual fund in each style.

by Max Lee

July 7, 20153Comments

Ignore the Hype: Splunk Remains Overvalued

In early 2012, Splunk Inc. burst onto the scene with one of the biggest IPOs of the year. Since then, the stock price has ridden the hype and is up more than 320%. This price increase should raise serious concerns for astute investors.

by Max Lee

June 19, 20154Comments

Get This Cash Cow at a Discount

Strong business fundamentals and low valuations are key ingredients in the overall evaluation of investments. This week’s stock pick of the week brings high profitability and a compelling valuation to the table.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 29, 20150Comments

Best Stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Last week, we wrote about the riskiest stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We thought we’d be remiss to not mention our favorite stocks in the index as well. Not all of the blue chips are created equal, and the following are what we consider to be the most attractive investment opportunities in the Dow at the moment.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

March 26, 20153Comments

Ranked: Our Top 10 ETFs

The following is a list of our top 10 ETFs that have over $100 million in assets under management (AUM), and that are not leveraged.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 10, 20150Comments

A Turnaround Years in the Making

This week’s hot stock has almost been written off by many market pundits. As commonly happens, media coverage tends to overreact to bad news, and those reactions can begin to drown out any positive news.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 6, 20150Comments

The Best Large Cap Value Stocks in the Market

The Large Cap Value style ranks second out of the 12 styles for the first quarter of 2015 and receives our Neutral rating. The Large Cap Value style as a whole outperformed the Russell 3000 in 2014

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

August 18, 20140Comments

Danger Zone: Price to Earnings Ratios

The vast majority of evidence suggests that P/E ratios are an unreliable way to measure the true value of stocks.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

June 17, 20140Comments

10 Wonderful Companies That Are Bad Stocks

Sometimes, a great company can actually be a risky stock when it gets significantly overvalued.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

January 22, 20140Comments

Apple’s Declining Advantage is Undeniable

Apple cannot have pricing power and market share at the same time. No one can for an extended period of time. The problem with AAPL is that it is priced for the company to achieve market share penetration and growth at high prices. The reality is that the quality of Apple products versus competitors is declining. Prices will have to come down just to maintain market share.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

December 16, 20130Comments

Danger Zone: Salesforce.com (CRM)

There are too many competitors out there for CRM to grow revenue and expand margins simultaneously to the extent that the market valuation already implies. Too much downside risk is in this stock.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

November 19, 20131Comments

Danger Zone 11/19/13: Netflix (NFLX)

Netflix (NFLX) is in the Danger Zone this week. The DVD subscription and streaming video service has changed the way people watch movies and TV shows. However, its current valuation is out of touch with reasonable expectations for future cash flows and profitability.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

September 30, 20130Comments

Danger Zone 9/30/13: Zynga (ZNGA)

The stock has been beat up since its much-hyped IPO in 2011, but even after losing 61% of its value the stock is still too expensive. ZNGA is competing in an immature market where the barriers to entry are almost nonexistent and brand loyalty is a foreign concept.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

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