Paying customers can access April's 40 Most Dangerous Stocks as of Wednesday, April 2. We provide 20 large/mid cap names to sell or short and 20 small cap names in this monthly
Paying customers can access April’s 40 Most Attractive Stocks as of Wednesday, April 2. We provide 20 large/mid cap names and 20 small cap names to buy in this monthly newsletter. Last
In November of last year, Netflix (NFLX: ~$355/share) landed in the Danger Zone after rising 363% year-to-date on promising quarterly results and much media hype. The stock rose rapidly for a while after our pick but has come back down nearly 20% in the past month.
Value investing is a tried and tested approach that has worked wonders for investors in the past. However, in today's world, executing this strategy can be a daunting task, given the complexity of the annual reports that companies file. Even professional investors have a tough time understanding the profitability and valuation of companies due to the lengthy and convoluted filings they receive. With stocks becoming more volatile and earnings estimates less precise, investors could be misled into thinking they're making a wise investment when, in fact, there's another side to the coin they've not seen.
NOPAT Adjustment: Foreign Exchange Loss. Converting GAAP data into economic earnings should be part of every investor’s diligence process. Performing detailed analysis of footnotes and the MD&A is part of fulfilling fiduciary responsibilities.
DNKN’s illusory growth in accounting earnings has driven the stock up nearly 40% while the S&P 500 is up only about 20% over the past year. Our diligence reveals that while reported earnings are up, DNKN’s economic earnings are in decline. Future growth expectations are overblown as well because the company’s plans to expand outside of the Northeast pit it against formidable, entrenched competitors.
Any brick and mortar retailer carries some risk in this environment, but investors who really want exposure to this sector should look for higher quality companies than TUES. Other retailers have superior profitability metrics, better branding and e-commerce capabilities, and a cheaper valuation. The only reason to touch TUES is to short it.
Momentum chasing is never a good strategy. RCL significantly outperformed the market last year, while F lagged it slightly, but don’t expect those trends to continue in 2014 for either stock.
The Time Warner deal is a smokescreen for the fact that Comcast faces many problems to which it does not have an answer. The market already understands that CMCSA has overpaid, which is why the stock is down 5% since the acquisition was announced. And the price will drop further as the market catches on to the larger competitive issues that Comcast faces.
Last week, Facebook (FB) filed its second annual report as a publicly traded company, which allows us to initiate coverage. The company’s strong return on invested capital (ROIC) and profit growth offset the stock’s expensive valuation (~$70/share) to earn our Neutral rating.