HIDDEN GEM: Our detailed valuation model shows that XLNX grew its "economic" profits by nearly $14mm during its last fiscal year while it reported an $18mm decline in accounting profits.
There are many ways to define the quality and merit of equity research. One measure stands tallest: performance of stock recommendations. And by that measure, New Constructs' research is of very high quality (especially for the price!!).
The United States Patent and Trademark Office awarded us patent #7,752,090, titled: System and Method For Reversing Accounting Distortions and Calculating A True Value of a Business.
One of the Most Dangerous Stocks for July, Whole Foods has misleading earnings and a sky-high valuation, in our opinion. The same is true for all of our Most Dangerous Stocks.
Boomerang Capital Partners provides a great resource for tracking and benchmarking investment returns for hedge funds in general and the many different hedge fund strategies. Here is the link to the page where they offer a free report called the Periodic Table of Hedge Fund Returns.
The takeaway: the TED Spread indicates the financial system is relatively safe these days with no imminent danger. It has recently fallen from recent highs related to the debt issues in Europe and it is no where near where it was during the sub-prime crisis which led to the Lehman crisis when the TED Spread hit historic highs.
A newcomer to our Most Attractive Stocks for July, this small cap stock has an excellent risk/reward profile, which earns it our highest Rating: Very Attractive.
As highlighted in LPL Group excellent "Mid-Year Outlook for 2010", the economy is moving from 'recovery' mode to 'expansion' mode, which is very different from moving from 'recovery' back to 'recession' - a prediction made by many attention-seeking alarmists these days. We are still growing, just not as fast.
Here is a free copy of our report on SCHW for Ask Matt readers. This report provides details behind Matt's analysis of SCHW in his recent article in USA Today:
The difference between Investing and Speculating is much larger than Wall Street would have you believe. In fact, they could not be too more different activities. Speculating is gambling. Investing is intelligent decision-making.
In April, GM bragged about having paid back the balance of its $6.7 billion loan under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. In truth, the did nothing of the sort. They simply pirated taxpayer funds to cover their losses.
Hidden Gem - GPS: economic earnings are rising faster than reported accounting earnings b/c the company lowered the capital employed to run the business. GAAP earnings do not capture increase capital efficiency of the business.
TheStreet.com recently published three articles quoting me on SIRI. Andrea Tse called and, after reviewing our models on SIRI, I told her that the stock was Dangerous because:
You have to read this to believe it: "SEC Porn Problem: Officials Surfing Sites During Financial Crisis, Report Finds". And we wonder why Wall Street stays a several steps ahead of the regulators.
Most of the time when I meet with investors (large and small) and explain what I do and New Constructs does, they are astonished about what I explain as the reality of the investing world. They always ask: "What are regulators doing?"..."How can they allow these things to go on?"
The answers to that question are:
"Close the revolving door between the S.E.C. and Wall Street. At every turn we keep coming back to an enormous barrier to reform: Wall Street’s political influence. Its influence over the S.E.C. is further compromised by its ability to enrich the people who work for it. Realistically, there is only so much that can be done to fix the problem, but one measure is obvious: forbid regulators, for some meaningful amount of time after they have left the S.E.C., from accepting high-paying jobs with Wall Street firms."
There are two primary reasons a stock gets on our Most Dangerous List:
1. Misleading earnings: reported GAAP earnings are positive and rising while economic earnings are negative and declining
2. Expensive valuation: future cash flow expectations embedded in the current price are unusually high especially compared to historical performance.
Free copy of our report on NYX is in the Free Archive on www.newconstructs.com. Or just click here: NYX Company Valuation Report.