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Danger Zone

July 17, 20170Comments

A Misunderstood and Overvalued Growth Stock

This firm’s questionable acquisition strategy has resulted in a ballooning balance sheet that diminishes the capacity to create shareholder value by improving return on invested capital (ROIC). Further, the profit growth expectations embedded in the stock price have moved beyond what the company can reasonably be expected to achieve.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
July 13, 20171Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Ignoring This Auto Parts Stock Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 13, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Touchstone Sands Capital Select Growth Fund Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Touchstone Sands Capital Select Growth Fund.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 10, 20170Comments

A Hidden Danger Amidst Large Cap Funds

All four classes of this fund earn a Dangerous-or-worse rating and its overvalued holdings and high fees diminish the likelihood that the fund’s recent outperformance will continue.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
July 6, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Ignoring This Medical Stock Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 29, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Ignoring This Consumer Goods Stock Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 28, 20170Comments

Position Close Update: MDLZ, PRGO, ORCL & VZ

Our Long Idea and Danger Zone research reports are part of an ongoing effort to identify hidden gems in the market and help clients avoid portfolio blowups. In this Position Update report, we are closing out two Long Ideas and two Danger Zone picks previously published on the Research Blog.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 22, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Ignoring This Health Care Stock Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 19, 20170Comments

Winner & Losers from Amazon’s Proposed Purchase of Whole Foods

While this deal certainly could be good for AMZN, we believe the market may be ignoring some of Whole Foods Market’s off-balance sheet liabilities that make this acquisition more expensive than it appears.
by Sam McBride
June 13, 20172Comments

Netflix’s Costly Business Model Proves Unsustainable

The surfacing of this ugly truth could be a catalyst for more investors to question the viability of Netflix’s business model and to send NFLX shares to a more rational level.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 8, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Ignoring This Industrials Stock Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 1, 20170Comments

Closing Danger Zone Pick: Zoe’s Kitchen (ZOES) After 43% Gain

We think the downside risk in Zoe's Kitchen (ZOES) is diminished and are closing this position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 31, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Overlooking This Homebuilder Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 22, 20171Comments

Position Update: Long Idea and Danger Zone Research

We provide a synopsis on the current state of all Long Idea and Danger Zone research published to date.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 9, 20170Comments

Danger Zone Update: Pandora Media (P)

Danger Zone Pick, Pandora Media, down 18% since publish date (S&P up 1% over same time), recently announced it is looking into “strategic alternatives, including a possible sale.” Accordingly, we think the downside risk here is diminished and are closing this position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 8, 20170Comments

A Cautionary Tale on Sell-Side Ratings

A recent analysis reported that the percentage of newly issued ratings of “sell” or “underweight” was only 5% of the total. This phenomenon is not new to regular market followers, and it was on full display surrounding the IPO of Snapchat (SNAP).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 25, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Investors Overlooking This Retailer Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about a Long Idea that investors should not overlook.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 24, 20170Comments

David Trainer on CNBC to Discuss Chipotle (CMG)

Tune into CNBC on Tuesday, April 25, at 3:45pm EST. New Constructs CEO, David Trainer, will discuss Chipotle’s valuation and the implied market expectations embedded in the stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 6, 20170Comments

Podcast: Why Verint Systems Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Verint Systems (VRNT).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 3, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Verint Systems (VRNT)

This firm has seen seen margins contract as early success brought more competition. To try and offset competitors taking market share, the firm made numerous shareholder value-destroying acquisitions. Now the stock is pricing in aggressively optimistic improvements in revenue growth and profit margins.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
« Older Articles Newer Articles »

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