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DCF model

Core Earnings
May 14, 20260Comments

How “Expectations Investing” Gives You an Edge in 60 seconds

We shine light into the dark corners of the market. We make it clear and easy.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 5, 20260Comments

Palantir’s Beats Are “Not Good Enough”

Expectations matter, especially when analyzing the risk/reward of a high-flying stock such as Palantir.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 27, 20260Comments

Watch The Most Expensive Stocks In the Market: A Tale of Two Strategies

Anyone can chase what’s popular. Very few can separate what’s priced for perfection from what’s actually worth owning.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 27, 20260Comments

New Features Enhance our Best-In-Class Reverse DCF Models

We’re happy to announce a big enhancement to our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) models.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 13, 20260Comments

Quantifying Expectations and Earnings Watch Party – Monthly Podcast with David Trainer and Kyle Guske II

March 2026's Monthly Podcast replay is now live in our online community.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
March 31, 20250Comments

Podcast: Why This Newly Traded Tech Company Is Already in the Danger Zone

Senior Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: IPO Report: Valuation Rotten to the Core.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 25, 20250Comments

IPO Report: Valuation Rotten to the Core

This IPO looks more like a plan to boost Wall Street insider bonuses and throw a lifeline to a cash-burning business.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 27, 20250Comments

A Terrible Business With An Incredibly Optimistic Valuation

Do you ever wonder how disconnected a stock’s valuation can possibly get from the fundamentals of the underlying business?
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
ICYMI
February 14, 20250Comments

ICYMI: Long Idea Update, Free Stock Pick, Video: Amazon’s Shocking Valuation, Earnings Watch Party Replays, Model Portfolio Performance in 2024, & Model Portfolio Updates

Here's what happened at New Constructs during the week of February 10, 2025.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 4, 20250Comments

Comparing the Cash Flow Expectations for IonQ (IONQ) to the Biggest Companies in the S&P 500

Putting context around the future cash flows baked into the current stock price an be very illuminating.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

Don’t Buy Rambus (RMBS) Until After You Watch This Video

Sometimes stocks are expensive, and sometimes they are ridiculously expensive. What we found might shock you.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about the Value of Quantum Computing Inc.

What we found might shock you. I know I was surprised to see just how much future success was priced into QUBT.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 24, 20250Comments

Measure the Potential Impacts of Tariffs On Your Stocks

I used our best-in-class DCF modeling tools to create scenarios that captured the valuation impact of tariffs that help or hurt margins and revenues.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
March 30, 20230Comments

Our Company Models In Excel – Now Even Better

We’re excited to announce that we updated the Excel models to be 100% dynamic; so clients can operate our Reverse DCF model in Excel.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
May 23, 20220Comments

Stick a Pin in It – This Growth Story Is Over

This company’s current fundamentals cannot justify the expectations baked into its stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
May 23, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why These Once High-Flyers Are Still in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: Stick a Pin in It – This Growth Story Is Over and The Music Is Ending on This Once High-Flyer
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 14, 20220Comments

Square Peg Meets Round Hole

The fundamentals of this business simply don’t justify the expectations baked into its stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 14, 20220Comments

Book Your Assets Elsewhere

The likelihood of this company achieving the cash flow expectations baked into the stock price remain very low.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
March 14, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why These Falling Tech Companies Are Still in The Danger Zone

nvestment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: Book Your Assets Elsewhere and Square Peg Meets Round Hole.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 7, 20220Comments

Shop Elsewhere for Realistic Expectations

Though this company benefited greatly from rapid e-commerce adoption in 2021, a continuation of such growth is unlikely, and shares still have further to fall.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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