First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF (FXU) is in the Danger Zone this week due to its poor holdings. FXU might not have any obvious red flags on the surface, but a look at its holdings reveals a number of stocks with the potential to blow up, including some recent features in the Danger Zone.
Doing your own fundamental analysis can be hard work, but it is worth it. Listening to the buzz on Wall Street only tells you what has outperformed, doing your own research can tell you what will outperform.
The Consumer Staples sector ranks first out of the ten sectors as detailed in my Sector Rankings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. It gets my Neutral rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 10 ETFs and 9 mutual funds in the Consumer Staples sector as of April 3, 2014.
DNKN’s illusory growth in accounting earnings has driven the stock up nearly 40% while the S&P 500 is up only about 20% over the past year. Our diligence reveals that while reported earnings are up, DNKN’s economic earnings are in decline. Future growth expectations are overblown as well because the company’s plans to expand outside of the Northeast pit it against formidable, entrenched competitors.
Similar to my prior interviews on SBUX, I found it easy to make the bear case for a stock that is as expensive as Starbucks (SBUX). As my regular readers know, when I say "expensive", I back that up with details such as: to justify its $40 stock price (closing price from prior day), SBUX had to grow profits at 10% compounded annually for more than 25 years.