January 11, 20182Comments

Only One Sector Has Experienced A True Earnings Recovery

Accounting earnings may have rebounded from 2015 lows, but economic earnings—which reverse accounting distortions and account for the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)—remain in a persistent downturn.

by Sam McBride

November 21, 20170Comments

Follow up to Morningstar: Questions Remain

We appreciate Morningstar (MORN) taking the time to answer our article. Rather than go point by point through Morningstar’s rebuttal, we just want to follow up with a few unanswered questions.

by Sam McBride

November 2, 20170Comments

Morningstar’s Dominance: The Good, Bad and the Ugly

Investors and advisors deserve other, independent sources of research that go beyond Morningstar’s backward-looking methodology.

by Sam McBride

October 5, 20171Comments

Big Banks Will Win the Fintech Revolution

Large incumbent financial firms will continue to control the bulk of the value in the industry, but the structure of the value chain and the way these firms compete will change drastically.

by Sam McBride

September 7, 20170Comments

The Earnings Recovery Remains an Illusion

Our analysis of the latest 10-K and 10-Q filings for the S&P 500 shows that the GAAP earnings growth in the market has not translated to an increase in economic earnings.

by Sam McBride

July 17, 20170Comments

Why Robo-Analysts, Not Robo-Advisors, Will Transform Investing

Robo-advisors and Robo-Analysts are both important to enabling wealth management firms to cut costs without sacrificing quality of advice, but the importance of a Robo-Analyst to enhance the quality of investment advice shouldn’t be underestimated.

by David Trainer, Founder & CEO

July 13, 20170Comments

Hidden Trigger For Another (Flash) Crash: Passive Investing

When the investment process makes no effort to differentiate winners from losers, there is no diligence, no intelligent capital allocation, and, eventually, no efficient market.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

June 27, 20170Comments

Value Investing Is Not Dead, But It Is Harder

We think today’s market is the best in many years for value investors, the real value investors, that is. The real value investors analyze footnotes and balance sheets in addition to income statements.

by Sam McBride

June 14, 20170Comments

The Fed Can’t Wish Inflation Into Existence

Even with inflation running below target, the Fed chose to raise interest rates again. The Fed’s influence is overstated, but it’s still troubling that major policymakers are acting on such an outdated view of the economy.

by Sam McBride

May 17, 20170Comments

Crossing the Chasm 2.0: Rise of the Robo-Analyst

In the same way online trading disrupted the distribution of investment advice, big-data analytics and machine learning will disrupt how financial advice and the research behind it is created.

by Sam McBride

May 4, 20172Comments

The Earnings Recovery Is A Sham

Our analysis of the latest 10-K filings for the 2,600 largest and most actively-traded companies shows that the much-hyped end to the earnings recession is an accounting illusion.

by Sam McBride

April 3, 20170Comments

Diligence Will Matter More Than Ever In 2017

Uncertainty defined 2016. In the midst of all the uncertainty, investors grew more and more aware of the need for real diligence. Market conditions, changing investor behavior, and new technologies all come together to make diligent research matter more than ever.

by Sam McBride

March 15, 20170Comments

Fed Watching Can Be A Costly Distraction

Investors agonizing over the Fed should focus their efforts elsewhere. Instead of guessing where interest rates will go, read some of the thousands of annual 10-K reports that have come out in the past month.

by Sam McBride

December 16, 20160Comments

2016 In Review, Looking Ahead to Next Year

As 2016 comes to an end, we’d like to highlight some of New Constructs’ many accomplishments for this year. We’ve helped our partners and clients avoid stock blow-ups, find long ideas that soar and leverage Model Portfolios that outperform across the board.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

December 14, 20160Comments

The Fed Is Chasing Trump’s Tail

As we’ve argued in the past, the Fed is irrelevant. The market has already driven interest rates up in response to Trump’s election and a more positive economic outlook.

by Sam McBride

November 3, 20160Comments

The Low Rate Era: Why The Fed’s Decision Is No Surprise

The Fed needs to acknowledge that it’s no longer in the driver’s seat and stop with the vague hints about “normalizing” monetary policy. Low interest rates are the new normal, and there’s nothing the Fed can do about that fact.

by Sam McBride

October 7, 20160Comments

How Clinton And Trump’s Fiscal Policy Will Impact The Economy

Much has been made of the candidates’ sharp differences, but there’s one area where they have put forward remarkably similar plans. Both candidates agree: repatriate offshore cash, invest in infrastructure

by Sam McBride

October 5, 20161Comments

Ignore Clinton And Trump: The Fed Is A Sideshow

Endlessly debating the actions of the Fed, either by political candidates or financial talking heads, has become a sideshow that distracts from the real workings of the economy and the stock market.

by Sam McBride

September 26, 20162Comments

The Fed Is Irrelevant: Low Interest Rates Are the New Normal

It’s time to consider a new paradigm for interest rates – a paradigm where treasury rates remain ultra low and riskier investments are priced by a decentralized market instead of a central bank.

by Sam McBride

September 23, 20164Comments

What’s The Problem With Non-GAAP Earnings?

Non-GAAP earnings are back in the crosshairs. 15 years after the Enron scandal first prompted the SEC to create rules for non-GAAP metrics, the proliferation of these pro forma results have led to renewed scrutiny.

by Sam McBride

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