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Danger Zone

July 19, 20161Comments

Netflix is Not the Only Game in Town

CEO David Trainer appeared on CNBC’s The Rundown on July 18, 2016 to discuss Netflix's 2Q16 quarterly results, the large subscriber growth disappointment, and detail how overvalued the stock remains
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
July 14, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why The TSLA/SCTY Acquisition Is In The Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Bailing Out SolarCity Costs TSLA Investors $7.4 Billion
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
July 7, 20163Comments

Bailing Out SolarCity Costs TSLA Investors $7.4 Billion

Just how bad is this deal? We crunch the numbers and show that, even in the most optimistic cash flow scenario for SCTY, Tesla should pay no more than $332 million, or $3/share for SolarCity
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 30, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why FireEye Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: FireEye (FEYE)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 27, 20161Comments

Alphabet Should Pay No More Than $1.1 Billion For Twitter

The bottom line is that there is a limit for how much Alphabet should pay for TWTR in order for the deal to be economically profitable. Even in the most optimistic scenario for TWTR’s future cash flows, Alphabet should pay no more than $1.1 billion, or $1.55/share, for Twitter.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 27, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: FireEye Inc. (FEYE)

Many investors saw the recent price decline as a time to buy, and the stock is up 30% since mid-May. With shares now greatly overvalued plus large profit losses and strong competition, FireEye (FEYE) is this week’s Danger Zone pick.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 23, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why ACI Worldwide Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: ACI Worldwide (ACIW).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 20, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: ACI Worldwide (ACIW)

When we peer below the surface, we find that the fundamentals of the business are headed in the wrong direction. For this reason and more, ACI Worldwide (ACIW) not only landed on June’s Most Dangerous Stocks list, but is this week’s Danger Zone pick.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 16, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Interactive Intelligence Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Interactive Intelligence (ININ).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 13, 20160Comments

Microsoft Vastly Overpays For LinkedIn

Our models show that, even with the most optimistic forecasts, over $20 billion, or $2.60 per MSFT share, of the $26.2 billion purchase is an overpayment and a direct destruction of value for MSFT shareholders.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 13, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Interactive Intelligence (ININ)

But what happens when a once profitable company makes the transition to the cloud and has become largely unprofitable? That company, Interactive Intelligence (ININ) is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 9, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Imperva Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Imperva Inc. (IMPV)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 6, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Imperva Inc. (IMPV)

This week’s Danger Zone pick has since rebounded and might have investors thinking now is the time to buy. Unfortunately, the fundamentals of this company reveal a different story. Growing losses, misleading non-GAAP metrics, and significant competition land Imperva Inc. (IMPV) in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 2, 20161Comments

Salesforce.com Investors Lose Big In Demandware Acquisition

Under even the most optimistic integration scenarios, we believe that Salesforce.com’s proposed acquisition of Demandware for $75/share or $2.85 billion represents an unacceptable transfer of wealth from CRM to DWRE shareholders.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 26, 20160Comments

Pure Storage: Trouble Arises After Fiscal 1Q17 Results

PSTG has fallen nearly 18% after announcing fiscal first quarter results that largely continue the concerning trends we pointed out when we placed PSTG in the Danger Zone in February 2016.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 23, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Mobile Mini (MINI)

What happens when a company focuses on top-line growth, ignores cash flows or economic earnings, and generates a low ROIC? That company, Mobile Mini (MINI), goes in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 16, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: XPO Logistics (XPO)

We’re not talking about Valeant (VRX) or Perrigo (PRGO), or any prior Danger Zone stocks. We’re talking about XPO Logistics (XPO), which looks like another roll up scheme, for the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 12, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund (FRSGX)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 9, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund (FRSGX)

For the second quarter of 2016 rankings, we noticed a new trend: in five of the past six quarters, the Mid Cap Growth style has received our Dangerous rating. Within that group, we found a particularly bad fund.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 5, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Perrigo Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Perrigo Company (PRGO).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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