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Danger Zone

June 16, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Interactive Intelligence Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Interactive Intelligence (ININ).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 13, 20160Comments

Microsoft Vastly Overpays For LinkedIn

Our models show that, even with the most optimistic forecasts, over $20 billion, or $2.60 per MSFT share, of the $26.2 billion purchase is an overpayment and a direct destruction of value for MSFT shareholders.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 13, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Interactive Intelligence (ININ)

But what happens when a once profitable company makes the transition to the cloud and has become largely unprofitable? That company, Interactive Intelligence (ININ) is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 9, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Imperva Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Imperva Inc. (IMPV)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 6, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Imperva Inc. (IMPV)

This week’s Danger Zone pick has since rebounded and might have investors thinking now is the time to buy. Unfortunately, the fundamentals of this company reveal a different story. Growing losses, misleading non-GAAP metrics, and significant competition land Imperva Inc. (IMPV) in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
June 2, 20161Comments

Salesforce.com Investors Lose Big In Demandware Acquisition

Under even the most optimistic integration scenarios, we believe that Salesforce.com’s proposed acquisition of Demandware for $75/share or $2.85 billion represents an unacceptable transfer of wealth from CRM to DWRE shareholders.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 26, 20160Comments

Pure Storage: Trouble Arises After Fiscal 1Q17 Results

PSTG has fallen nearly 18% after announcing fiscal first quarter results that largely continue the concerning trends we pointed out when we placed PSTG in the Danger Zone in February 2016.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 23, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Mobile Mini (MINI)

What happens when a company focuses on top-line growth, ignores cash flows or economic earnings, and generates a low ROIC? That company, Mobile Mini (MINI), goes in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 16, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: XPO Logistics (XPO)

We’re not talking about Valeant (VRX) or Perrigo (PRGO), or any prior Danger Zone stocks. We’re talking about XPO Logistics (XPO), which looks like another roll up scheme, for the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 12, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund (FRSGX)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 9, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund (FRSGX)

For the second quarter of 2016 rankings, we noticed a new trend: in five of the past six quarters, the Mid Cap Growth style has received our Dangerous rating. Within that group, we found a particularly bad fund.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 5, 20160Comments

Podcast: Why Perrigo Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Perrigo Company (PRGO).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 2, 20162Comments

Danger Zone: Perrigo Company (PRGO)

We found that Perrigo Company (PRGO), the firm Mr. Papa is leaving behind, exhibits many similarities to Valeant, including misleading non-GAAP measurements, aggressive, shareholder destructive acquisitions, and executive compensation misaligned with shareholders’ interests.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 28, 20160Comments

David Trainer Discusses Why Netflix Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: The Spell Is Broken: Netflix Is More Like A Traditional TV Network
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 27, 20160Comments

DreamWorks Animation Is Not Worth What Comcast Will Pay

Comcast would represent DWA’s saving grace, a company with ample cash for DreamWorks Animation to burn through. We would caution Comcast though, as acquiring DWA at current prices not only destroys shareholder value
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
April 21, 20160Comments

David Trainer Explains Why Cornerstone OnDemand Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 19, 20161Comments

The Spell Is Broken: Netflix Is More Like A Traditional TV Network

Investors should not be surprised that Netflix lowered guidance for subscriber growth for Q2 after announcing that many long-time users will face price increases starting in May.
by Sam McBride
April 18, 20160Comments

Danger Zone: Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD)

Companies with long histories of profit losses often attempt to sell investors on their plans to “reach scale.” But, what happens when a company reaches scale and profits remain elusive? Profitless since going public, Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD) lands in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
April 14, 20160Comments

David Trainer Covers Why Blackbaud Is In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB)
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 13, 20161Comments

Misaligned Incentives That Led To Valeant Disaster Go Unaddressed

We think that investing in VRX is not a good bet until Valeant’s leadership fully addresses the serious corporate governance flaws that are the source of the problems at the company.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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