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discounted cash flow

February 26, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about Spotify’s (SPOT) Valuation

Let me show you how much downside risk is in a stock as hyped up as Spotify.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
February 4, 20250Comments

Comparing the Cash Flow Expectations for IonQ (IONQ) to the Biggest Companies in the S&P 500

Putting context around the future cash flows baked into the current stock price an be very illuminating.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

Don’t Buy Rambus (RMBS) Until After You Watch This Video

Sometimes stocks are expensive, and sometimes they are ridiculously expensive. What we found might shock you.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about the Value of Quantum Computing Inc.

What we found might shock you. I know I was surprised to see just how much future success was priced into QUBT.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
Danger Zone
December 19, 20240Comments

Expectations Investing: Quantifying Netflix’s Valuation

Let’s show we use our reverse discounted cash flow model to quantify the expectations baked into Netflix.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 4, 20240Comments

My Secret Weapon for Calling the Top in NVDA

I am going to show you my secret weapon for calling the top in the most important stock in the market.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
April 28, 20230Comments

Reverse DCF Analysis of Tesla, Netflix, and IBM Post Earnings – Stock Trading Pro Podcast

We joined Pete Renzulli on the Stock Trading Pro podcast to discuss the cash flow expectations baked into the stock prices of TSLA, NFLX, and IBM and more.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 4, 20210Comments

Barron’s Features our Research on the Expectations Baked Into Tesla’s Valuation

Barron’s featured research from our report, $1 Trillion of Speculation, which quantifies the expectations for future growth in Tesla's valuation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 17, 20210Comments

Coinbase’s Earnings Disappoint: CoinDesk TV & Yahoo Finance

We joined CoinDesk TV and Yahoo Finance to discuss the unrealistic future profit expectations in Coinbase’s current valuation and more.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 7, 20210Comments

Do Valuations Matter in Volatile Markets? – CoinDesk TV

We joined CoinDesk TV’s Coin Flip to discuss the fundamental insights from quantifying the expectations for future cash flow growth implied by a firm’s valuation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 27, 20190Comments

We Review WeWork’s IPO on CNBC Asia

We joined CNBC Asia on Monday, August 26 to discuss WeWork’s business and valuation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Reverse DCF
June 18, 20190Comments

Webinar: “How a Reverse Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Model Works” – Hosted by Interactive Brokers

Watch the webinar replay to learn how we use our DCF model to quantify the cash flow expectations baked into stock prices.
by Sam McBride
June 4, 20190Comments

Interactive Brokers to Host Webinar on June 18, 12pm ET: “How a Reverse Discounted Cash Flow Model Works”

See “How a Reverse Discounted Cash Flow Model Works” on the Interactive Brokers Education platform.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
January 6, 20170Comments

See Exactly How Our Valuation Models Work

We are 100% transparent about our models because we want our clients to know how much rigor and integrity are behind our research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 9, 20161Comments

LinkedIn: How Low Can It Go? $20/share

There is a lack of credible research on “just how low can LNKD go?” Our answer has not changed much since we put LinkedIn in the Danger Zone back in August 2013. We think the bottom for this stock is closer to $20/share
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 17, 20140Comments

How To Value Stock Step 4: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

This is the fourth article in a four part series that walks readers through how to rate and value a stock.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
October 1, 20134Comments

30+ Accounting Adjustments to Get the Truth About Earnings & Valuation

Reported earnings don’t tell the whole story of a company’s profits. They are frequently manipulated by companies to manage earnings.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
August 15, 20132Comments

Adjusted Total Debt – Valuation Adjustment

The fair value of a company’s total debt is the current amount the company would need to pay to retire the debt and settle the claims of the creditors. This fair value of debt is subtracted from shareholder value because the firm would need to settle these claims before it could return any cash to shareholders.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
July 1, 20130Comments

Footnotes Adjustments for Earnings & Valuation Diligence

This article details the uniquely rigorous diligence behind each of our ratings on 3000 stocks, 7000 mutual funds and 400 ETFs. It contains reports on all the adjustments we make to convert GAAP data to economic earnings and derive true shareholder value in a discounted cash flow model.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
June 6, 20130Comments

Footnotes Adjustments for Earnings & Valuation Diligence

This report summarizes our series of reports on how to convert GAAP data to economic earnings and derive true shareholder value in a discounted cash flow model as well as more accurate measures of economic
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
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