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earnings

April 8, 20220Comments

Overstated Operating Earnings Increase Risk for the S&P 500 Even After Index Falls in 2022

The Operating Earnings from S&P Global (SPGI) for the S&P 500 overstate Core Earnings, which increases downside risk for the index. 2022 Update.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 6, 20220Comments

All Cap Index & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Thru 2021

This report analyzes the Core Earnings and GAAP earnings of the NC 2000 and each of its sectors.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core v. GAAP Abridged
March 30, 20220Comments

S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Thru 2021 (Free, Abridged)

This report is an abridged and free version of S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Thru 4Q21.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core vs. GAAP Earnings
March 30, 20220Comments

S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Thru 2021

This report analyzes the Core Earnings and GAAP earnings of the S&P 500 and each of its sectors.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
February 14, 20220Comments

The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes (Feb 2022)

Quarterly earnings season may be winding down, but the real earnings season – annual 10-K filing season – is ramping up
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
February 14, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why Ignoring Footnotes Could Land Your Portfolio in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 11, 20220Comments

Affirm’s Results Affirm Our Thesis: Sell This Stock

We are not surprised to see the company guide expectations lower for revenue and profits and the stock has much farther to fall.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 9, 20220Comments

Fade the Rumors on Peloton Before the Market Sells the News

Acquiring Peloton (PTON) anywhere close to its current valuation would be a poor use of capital.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 3, 20220Comments

No Hollywood Ending This Quarter – Benzinga PreMarket Prep

We joined Benzinga’s PreMarket Prep to discuss Google’s earnings growth, the tragic tale of ‘The Book of Netflix’, and more.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 2, 20220Comments

Robinhood: Still Nothing But a Gamble

Robinhood’s 4Q21 earnings report underscores our thesis that the stock is wildly overvalued and could fall to as low as $6/share.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 1, 20220Comments

Incorporating Press Release Data into Our Ratings and Company Valuation Models

We’re excited to announce that we’ve integrated earnings data disclosed in press releases via 8-Ks filed with the SEC into our Stock Ratings, Credit Ratings, and Company Valuation Models
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
January 28, 20220Comments

Tesla Earnings Awaken Hibernating Bears – Bloomberg TV

We joined Bloomberg QuickTake “nothing new” from Tesla’s (TSLA) earnings and the impending doom of the meme-stock movement.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
January 27, 20221Comments

Nothing New To See Here

Tesla’s (TSLA) 4Q21 earnings report only underscores our thesis that the stock is wildly overvalued and will fall as low $136/share.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
ICYMI
January 14, 20220Comments

ICYMI: 3 Focus List: Long Picks, 4Q21 Earnings Preview, 2 Focus List: Short Stocks Poised to Payoff, Nucleus195 TV Interview, 1Q22 Sector Ratings & Model Portfolio Updates

Here's what happened at New Constructs this past week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
December 6, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why Overstated Earnings Land This Airline Stock in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about a Danger Zone pick from last week: Core Earnings Are More Reliable Than GAAP Earnings for the S&P 500.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 3, 20210Comments

Overstated Operating Earnings Increase Downside Risk for the S&P 500

The Operating Earnings from S&P Global (SPGI) for the S&P 500 overstate Core Earnings, which increases downside risk for the index. 3Q21 Update
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core v. GAAP Abridged
November 24, 20210Comments

S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Through 3Q21 (Free, Abridged)

This report is an abridged and free version of S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Through 3Q21.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Core vs. GAAP Earnings
November 23, 20210Comments

S&P 500 & Sectors: Core Earnings Vs. GAAP Earnings Through 3Q21

This report analyzes the Core Earnings and GAAP earnings of the S&P 500 and each of its sectors.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Long Idea
November 10, 20210Comments

Improving Profits in a Growing Market Creates Shareholder Value

Despite missing top-line estimates in 3Q21 and giving back some of the pandemic-induced sales of 2020, this company is more profitable than it was pre-pandemic and is expanding its reach.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Long Idea
November 10, 20210Comments

Industry Leading Builder Looks Even Stronger Post 3Q21 Earnings

After a record 2020, this company is still firing on all cylinders in 2021.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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