2016 In Review, Looking Ahead to Next Year

Share with your friends










Submit

As 2016 comes to an end, we’d like to highlight some of New Constructs’ many accomplishments for this year. We’ve helped our partners and clients avoid stock blow-ups, find long ideas that soar and leverage Model Portfolios that outperform across the board.

Overall, as the importance of ROIC continues to dominate headlines and the DOL raises awareness of the importance of fulfilling fiduciary duties, our technology helps clients succeed.

Top Performing Stock Picks

Our best Long Idea of 2016 was Thor Industries (THO), published to Gold and higher members on June 23. Thor was a true value stock – the fundamentals of the business were trending higher but the valuation was not keeping up. THO is up 54% since publication and still earns our Attractive rating. Read “Long Idea: Thor Industries (THO)” here.

On the flip side, our best performing Danger Zone/short idea was Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX), a company we originally warned against in June 2014, and featured in the Danger Zone on February 29. Our research on VRX was featured in Barron’s. Valeant’s problems were widespread and included questionable non-GAAP accounting practices that vastly overstated the company’s true cash flows. Making matters worse, executive incentives were misaligned with shareholder interests, which made VRX a ticking time bomb. All told, VRX is down 78% since we published our Danger Zone article and still earns our Dangerous rating. Read “Danger Zone: Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX)” here.

Partnerships Put New Constructs On Over 1 Million Desktops

New Constructs entered into 3 new major partnerships in 2016 to bring unrivaled due diligence to more investors. Through deals with some of the largest financial institutions in the market, New Constructs shines a light in in the dark corners of SEC filings for over 1 million new desktops. Our new partnerships in 2016 include:

  1. Thomson Reuters

Our Unlimited Membership is now available on Thomson ONE, which includes unlimited access to investment ratings for more than 3,000 stocks, 450 ETFs, & 7,000 mutual funds, our stock & fund screening tools, and all of our Model Portfolios. “Our partnership with New Constructs provides a consistent data-driven approach to research through our Thomson ONE open desktop, as well as simplifies their investment management processes” said David Akellian, managing director of Thomson Reuters Wealth Management.

  1. Scottrade

6,000 Scottrade clients signed up for our Gold Membership in the first six weeks it was integrated into their Scottrade account. We also offer upgrades to Platinum and Pro memberships at special discounts for all Scottrade clients. “Our relationship with New Constructs will provide our clients with the research, reports and management tools that will give them a clear picture and help validate their investment ideas,” said Brian Bachelier, vice president of Active Trader Strategy at Scottrade.

  1. Interactive Brokers

Interactive Brokers clients can now purchase direct access to our Institutional Membership, which includes our forensic accounting research and valuation models on 3,000+ stocks, 7,000+ mutual funds, and 400+ ETFs as well as our stock & fund screening tools and the Most Attractive and Most Dangerous Model Portfolios. “We are pleased to provide our cutting-edge research technology to a fellow leader in innovation and transparency for investors like Interactive Brokers. We share a vision for helping investors maximize performance and leverage the latest in technology,” said New Constructs chief executive David Trainer.

New Model Portfolios: Excellent Ideas and Themes That Outperform

We created two new Model Portfolios in 2016. Both are aimed at providing well-screened lists of undervalued stocks that investors should have on their radar.

The Executive Compensation Aligned With ROIC Model Portfolio identifies undervalued stocks that align executive compensation with ROIC. Aligning executive compensation to ROIC is a clear driver of shareholder value creation, and these stocks do the best job of aligning executive interests with those of shareholders. Since inception, this model portfolio is up 23% while the S&P is up 9%.

The Safest Dividend Yields Model Portfolio identifies undervalued stocks that provide investors with a high quality and safe dividend yield. Not all dividends are created equal. These companies, with strong free cash flow and economic earnings, provide higher quality and safer dividend yields because we know they have the cash to support their dividend. Since inception, this model portfolio is up 8.1% while the S&P is up 5.2%.

These new Model Portfolios join our long-running Most Attractive & Most Dangerous Model Portfolios, which identify the Most Attractive and Most Dangerous stocks in the market each month.

Thought Leadership

Our research paved new ways of thinking about macro issues and was featured prominently by wealthmanagement.com, MarketWatch and Forbes on these topics:

  1. The importance (or lack thereof) of the Federal Reserve
  2. Permanent changes to investors’ expectations for a fiduciary level of service from advisors
  3. The need for advisors to provide a fiduciary level of service to remain competitive

More Research Features For Clients

  1. Added our Model Portfolios to your My Portfolio page for easier access
  2. Added Dividend Yield to My Portfolio, Stock Screeners, and company valuation models
  3. Added the ability to download our company valuation models in excel
  4. Updated Suspended Ratings and Analyst Notes

More Tools To Improve Client Experience

  1. Created video tours to allow you to get the most out of your membership
  2. Added in-line tours to key pages of the website
    1. My Portfolio
    2. Stock Screener
    3. ETF & Mutual Fund Screener
    4. Ratings
  3. Created step-by-step tours to make navigation easier to follow

More Coverage of Stocks, ETFs and Mutual Funds

We’re always looking for ways to improve our technology in order to bring you the best fundamental research in the market. Throughout the year, we have done so in many different ways:

  1. Added 90 stocks, 460 mutual funds, and 6 ETFs to coverage. Our coverage universe can be seen here.
  2. Added 20 IFRS-reporting companies to coverage
  3. Parsed 2,960 company 10-Ks
  4. Parsed 8,415 company 10-Qs
  5. Parsed 805,372 individual line items

Numerous Media Features

We were featured in Barron’s eight times in 2016, including features on our forensic accounting expertise, the stocks to buy regardless of election outcome, and our partnership with Scottrade. Two of our op-eds appeared in MarketWatch, and one on wealthmanagement.com, which helped solidify our thought leadership in areas such as due diligence, economic earnings, and ROIC. Bloomberg recognized our stock picking in February and we were ranked the #1 stock picker on SumZero, a highly exclusive buy-side only platform, from March through June.

Huge Growth In Customers and Followers in 2016

  1. Our online subscribers grew 2533% to 8,348
  2. To our mailing list, we had 45,757 new investors sign up for a total of 52,789

We expect this exponential growth to continue in 2017 as New Constructs’ research continues to impress with its quality and uniqueness. We are adding new partners, as well, that bring New Constructs into the raw data, auditing, corporate consulting, and investor relations markets.

2017: The Best Is Yet To Come

Accounting rules and disclosure practices are changing at an accelerated rate. It’s difficult for investors to keep up. Our goal is to provide you with the most accurate and up-to-date fundamental analysis on the market using our unparalleled machine learning technology. 2017 is no different. We believe there are key changes in the landscape that will make fundamental analysis even more important in the coming years.

First and foremost, the DOL’s Fiduciary Rule is set to take effect next year. Advisors and wealth management firms must perform proper due diligence to avoid the crosshairs of regulators. Such diligence cannot be found in technical trading strategies and sell-side research, as each has inherent flaws and fail to alert advisers of potential red flags hidden in the details. Only real fundamental research that takes into account all the information in financial filings will suffice – including the critical information hidden in the footnotes & MD&A that New Constructs finds that other firms miss.

Additionally, we’ve laid out broad goals we’re looking forward to achieving in 2017, some of which can be seen below:

  1. Expand our coverage universe
  2. Portfolio Diagnostic Tools
  3. Enhanced metrics in our company valuation models
  4. New Model Portfolios

We thank you for being a member of New Constructs and wish you a wonderful holiday and happy New Year.

This article originally published here on December 16, 2016.

Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Kyle Martone receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.

Scottrade clients get a Free Gold Membership ($588/yr value) as well as 50% discounts and up to 20 free trades ($140 value) for signing up to Platinum, Pro or Unlimited memberships. Login or open your Scottrade account & find us under Quotes & Research/Investor Tools.

Click here to download a PDF of this report.

Photo Credit: venturebeat.com

Leave A Response

* Denotes Required Field