We’ve been bearish on Netflix for many years, and it seems as if the market is finally catching on to the issues with the business model that we’ve seen all along
The loss of licensed content, increased competition, and higher prices in the future mean investors should expect more disappointing subscriber numbers going forward.
Luckbox Magazine features our research on Netflix (NFLX) and Disney (DIS) in the May 2019 article: “Disney Vs. Netflix: The Battle for Big Media”.
Luckbox is a new financial magazine
In our long thesis on Disney in January, we wrote that there were four key catalysts that could help the stock overcome ESPN fears and break out of its rut. After a down year, Disney looks poised to deliver significant returns for shareholders.
Investors should capitalize on the opportunity provided by Disney’s streaming service announcement and the market’s overreaction to earnings. Buy into a great company at an attractive valuation (Disney) and sell an overvalued company with holes in its business model (Netflix).
While we’ve taken issue with many of the large acquisitions in 2016, this deal not only passes the economics test, but also creates a combined firm with a strategic focus on the future.