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Sell Citigroup Before The Earnings Bubble Pops

Citigroup is running out of accounting tricks and the stock will continue its slide as investors recognize the company is not as profitable as it wants investors to believe. Our analysis of the financial footnotes of more than 50,000 annual reports means we know more about which companies have the naughtiest and the nicest accounting. And Citigroup is definitely on the naughty list.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
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For Ask Matt readers:Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — Dangerous Rating

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) gets our Dangerous Rating. This means CAT’s quality-of-earnings are not attractive and the stock’s valuation is very expensive. For example, the valuation of the current stock price ($112.16) implies the company will grow its profits at 16% compounded annually for 20 years. The takeaway: there are better stocks to choose from. See details in our free report.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
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Buy Eli Lilly & Company (LLY) – Attractive and Safe Enough To Take Home To Mom

The risk/reward of this stock is quite compelling. Downside risk is low as the valuation already implies a permanent 54% decline in profits. How much worse can the valuation get? Upside reward potential is strong as the stock has to go over $77/share to trade at a value that implies the company’s profits will experience a 0% decline, still a no-growth scenario.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
New Constructs
5Comments

Dead Company Walking: Sell Eastman Kodak (EK)

What I bet very few people, outside the company itself, know is that EK’s pension liabilities could torpedo the company into bankruptcy and send the stock to significantly lower levels. In the company’s recently published 10K, we found that EK’s pension obligations are underfunded by $2.6 billion, about 3 times the company’s market value.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO