Despite underperforming the market for several years, this long-time Long Idea has all the tools for a successful turnaround and holds significant upside potential.
This report red flags the firms with the most underfunded pensions and the most aggressive assumptions for returns they expect to earn on the pension assets.
Pension underfunding remains dangerously high for many firms, and some companies use unusual assumptions for expected return on plan assets to mislead investors.
Our Robo-Analyst technology drills down to the stock level of all 7,000+ ETFs and mutual funds under coverage. In the process, we uncovered an attractive ETF that traditional, backward-looking fund research overlooks.
Tune into CNBC on Wednesday, July 12 at 3:40pm EST. New Constructs CEO, David Trainer, will discuss airline stock’s valuation and the implied market expectations across the industry.
With a long history of industry-leading profits, improving ROIC, and an attractive valuation, Southwest Airlines (LUV) is on July’s Most Attractive Stocks list and is this week’s Long Idea.
The search for quality stocks only gets harder as companies use a growing array of tricks to deceive investors. Our research has always focused on cutting through the noise. We
Value investing is a tried and tested approach that has worked wonders for investors in the past. However, in today's world, executing this strategy can be a daunting task, given the complexity of the annual reports that companies file. Even professional investors have a tough time understanding the profitability and valuation of companies due to the lengthy and convoluted filings they receive. With stocks becoming more volatile and earnings estimates less precise, investors could be misled into thinking they're making a wise investment when, in fact, there's another side to the coin they've not seen.
The word “index” in an ETF label does not always mean that investors are getting the specific exposure they seek. Diligence on ETF holdings is necessary despite what the providers might have you believe. Below I dispel the following myths concerning index ETFs.
The Industrials sector ranks fourth out of the ten sectors as detailed in my Sector Rankings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. It gets my Neutral rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 16 ETFs and 18 mutual funds in the Industrials sector as of January 25th, 2013.
Smart investors consider more than just the dividend of a stock. They also consider the principal risk. If the principal risk is greater than the dividend yield then the dividend is of no real value. I see the principal risk of this stock at more than 15% with a fair value closer to $50 – after adjusting for the pension accounting shenanigans.
The impact on valuation: instead of a fair value in the mid $50s, I now see it in the low $40s - about 30% lower than where the stock is today. 30% dwarfs the 4% dividend yield.
Yesterday, Goldman Sach's initiated on Delta Airlines (DAL) with a Sell Rating. This stock call comes two months after my note to clients recommending shorting DAL.
As I wrote in “Don’t Be Fooled: Get Short Now”, the euro is not that different from Enron, WorldCom or the Madoff fund. All of these organizations were able to pretend they were profitable or solvent long after they were insolvent.
Now markets are finally acknowledging the intractability of the Euro debacle.
Listen in on my 15 minute interview describing the rigorous diligence New Constructs applies to every rating on the stocks, ETFs and mutual funds we cover.