Skip to content
New Constructs
  • Get Access
    • Professional Investors
    • Institutional Investors
    • Quantitative Investors
    • Research Reports & Model Portfolios
    • Individual Investors
    • Newsletter
  • Solutions
    • Indices
    • Stock Ratings
    • Credit Ratings
    • Sector Ratings
    • ETF & Mutual Fund Ratings
    • Earnings Distortion Scores
    • Model Portfolios
    • Long & Short Idea Research
    • Macro Fundamental Research
    • Portfolio Tracking & Alert Emails
    • Screening Tools
    • API
    • Excel Add-In
    • Company Models
    • Marked-Up SEC Filings
    • Research Blog
    • Fundamental Data Products
      • Core Earnings & Earnings Distortion
      • Reported Fundamentals
      • Proprietary Adjusted Fundamentals
      • Value Screens/Metrics
      • Enhanced Value Screens/Metrics
  • Blog
  • Community
    • Online Community Forum
      • Join our Online Community
    • Live Video Podcast (Free)
    • Let’s Talk Long Ideas (Members Only)
    • YouTube Channel
    • Education
      • Free Training Sessions
      • Value Investing 2.0
      • Metrics Definitions
      • Rating Methodologies
      • Accounting Loopholes
      • FASB Tracker
      • Company Models
  • Company
    • About Us
    • Customer Testimonials
    • Partnerships
    • Papers & Case Studies
      • Proven-Superior Models
      • Proven-Superior Stock Ratings
      • Novel Alpha in our Proprietary Data
    • Robo-Analyst Technology
    • News & Media Coverage
    • Stock Picking Accolades
    • Careers
  • Members

DCF model

Danger Zone Podcast
March 31, 20250Comments

Podcast: Why This Newly Traded Tech Company Is Already in the Danger Zone

Senior Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: IPO Report: Valuation Rotten to the Core.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 25, 20250Comments

IPO Report: Valuation Rotten to the Core

This IPO looks more like a plan to boost Wall Street insider bonuses and throw a lifeline to a cash-burning business.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 27, 20250Comments

A Terrible Business With An Incredibly Optimistic Valuation

Do you ever wonder how disconnected a stock’s valuation can possibly get from the fundamentals of the underlying business?
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
ICYMI
February 14, 20250Comments

ICYMI: Long Idea Update, Free Stock Pick, Video: Amazon’s Shocking Valuation, Earnings Watch Party Replays, Model Portfolio Performance in 2024, & Model Portfolio Updates

Here's what happened at New Constructs during the week of February 10, 2025.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 4, 20250Comments

Comparing the Cash Flow Expectations for IonQ (IONQ) to the Biggest Companies in the S&P 500

Putting context around the future cash flows baked into the current stock price an be very illuminating.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

Don’t Buy Rambus (RMBS) Until After You Watch This Video

Sometimes stocks are expensive, and sometimes they are ridiculously expensive. What we found might shock you.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 31, 20250Comments

The Shocking Truth about the Value of Quantum Computing Inc.

What we found might shock you. I know I was surprised to see just how much future success was priced into QUBT.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
January 24, 20250Comments

Measure the Potential Impacts of Tariffs On Your Stocks

I used our best-in-class DCF modeling tools to create scenarios that captured the valuation impact of tariffs that help or hurt margins and revenues.
by David Trainer, Founder & CEO
March 30, 20230Comments

Our Company Models In Excel – Now Even Better

We’re excited to announce that we updated the Excel models to be 100% dynamic; so clients can operate our Reverse DCF model in Excel.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
May 23, 20220Comments

Stick a Pin in It – This Growth Story Is Over

This company’s current fundamentals cannot justify the expectations baked into its stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
May 23, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why These Once High-Flyers Are Still in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: Stick a Pin in It – This Growth Story Is Over and The Music Is Ending on This Once High-Flyer
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 14, 20220Comments

Square Peg Meets Round Hole

The fundamentals of this business simply don’t justify the expectations baked into its stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 14, 20220Comments

Book Your Assets Elsewhere

The likelihood of this company achieving the cash flow expectations baked into the stock price remain very low.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
March 14, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why These Falling Tech Companies Are Still in The Danger Zone

nvestment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: Book Your Assets Elsewhere and Square Peg Meets Round Hole.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 7, 20220Comments

Shop Elsewhere for Realistic Expectations

Though this company benefited greatly from rapid e-commerce adoption in 2021, a continuation of such growth is unlikely, and shares still have further to fall.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 7, 20220Comments

No Coin to be Made Here

Though the company set records across many of its chosen key performance metrics in 2021, sustained success looks unlikely.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
March 7, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why These Hyper Growth Companies Are in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: No Coin to be Made Here and Shop Elsewhere for Realistic Expectations
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 13, 20210Comments

CNBC Features our Unique IPO Research & Contrarian Calls

CNBC's article focuses on the common-sense math we use to show the absurdity of many recent IPO valuations and the objective perspective that offers.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
May 4, 20210Comments

Honestly Overvalued

At the midpoint of its price range, The Honest Company is valued at ~$1.4 billion and earns our Unattractive rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 30, 20200Comments

Model Enhancement: Compare Past & Implied Future Profits

Compare, in a single chart, the past performance of key metrics with the future performance implied by the stock price.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
« Older Articles

Search

  • Free Trainings & Earnings Watch Parties
  • David Trainer’s E-Letters
  • —
  • Long Ideas
  • Danger Zone (Sell/short ideas)
  • IPO Research
  • Footnotes Season Finds
  • —
  • Stock Picking Awards & Media Features
  • Testimonials
  • General Market Comments
  • —
  • Model Portfolios
  • – Focus List Stocks: Long
  • – Focus List Stocks: Short
  • – Most Attractive Stocks
  • – Most Dangerous Stocks
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
  • – Best & Worst ETFs & Mutual Funds by Style
  • – Exec Comp Aligned With ROIC
  • – Safest Dividend Yields
  • – Dividend Growth Stocks
  • – Model Portfolio Performance
  • —
  • — Training & Education —
  • How To Use Our Site
  • Join Our Online Community
  • Investing 101
  • Backtest Data Details & Case Studies
  • Accounting Rule Changes
  • ROIC Drives Equity Valuation
  • – Enterprise Value Optimization
  • DOL Fiduciary Regulation
  • M&A Analysis
  • Fundamental Macro Trends & Sector Fundamentals
  • Machine Learning & AI for Smarter Investing
  • —
  • Company Report Index
  • – Tesla (TSLA) – 26 reports
  • – Netflix (NFLX) – 24 reports
  • – General Motors (GM) – 15 reports
  • – Snap (SNAP) – 14 reports
  • – Disney (DIS) – 10 reports
  • – Intel Corporation (INTC) – 10 reports
  • – Carvana (CVNA) – 10 reports
  • – Wayfair (W) – 11 reports
  • – Uber (UBER) – 10 reports
  • – Beyond Meat (BYND) – 10 reports
  • – Spotify (SPOT) – 9 reports
  • – Walmart (WMT) – 9 reports
  • – DoorDash (DASH) – 9 reports
  • – Peloton (PTON) – 9 reports
  • – Skechers USA (SKX) – 9 reports
  • – JPMorgan (JPM) – 8 reports
  • – Rivian Automotive (RIVN) – 8 reports
  • – Target (TGT) – 7 reports
  • – Coinbase (COIN) – 7 reports
  • – Oracle (ORCL) – 7 reports
  • – McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) – 7 reports
  • – HCA Healthcare (HCA) – 7 reports
  • – Discover Financial (DFS) – 7 reports
  • – AutoZone (AZO) – 7 reports
  • – Shake Shack (SHAK) – 7 reports
  • – D.R. Horton (DHI) – 7 reports
  • – Meritage Homes (MTH) – 7 reports
  • – Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) – 7 reports
  • – Valeant (VRX) – 6 reports
  • – Cracker Barrel (CBRL) – 6 reports
  • – Best Buy (BBY) – 6 reports
  • – Amazon (AMZN) – 6 reports
  • – Verizon Communications (VZ) – 6 reports
  • – GameStop (GME) – 6 reports
  • – Cisco Systems (CSCO) – 6 reports
  • – Alphabet (GOOGL) – 6 reports
  • – Colgate-Palmolive (CL) – 6 reports
  • – Southwest Airlines (LUV) – 6 reports
  • – Ford (F) – 6 reports
  • – NVR Inc. (NVR) – 6 reports
  • – Affirm Holdings (AFRM) – 6 reports
  • – Amgen (AMGN) – 6 reports
  • – John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) – 5 reports
  • – SYSCO Corporation (SYY) – 5 reports
  • – Zendesk (ZEN) – 5 reports
  • – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – 5 reports
  • – Lam Research Corp (LRCX) – 5 reports
  • – Lear Corp (LEA) – 5 reports
  • – Universal Health Services (UHS) – 5 reports
  • – HF Sinclair (DINO) – 5 reports
  • – Omnicom Group (OMC) – 5 reports
  • – Allstate (ALL) – 5 reports
  • – Dropbox (DBX) – 5 reports
  • – Robinhood Markets (HOOD) – 5 reports
  • – Sweetgreen (SG) – 5 reports
  • – Microsoft (MSFT) – 4 reports
  • – Caterpillar (CAT) – 4 reports
  • – TrueCar (TRUE) – 4 reports
  • – Kimberly-Clark (KMB) – 4 reports
  • – Simon Property Group (SPG) – 4 reports
  • – Thor Industries (THO) – 4 reports
  • – Box, Inc. (BOX) – 4 reports
  • – Pinterest (PINS) – 4 reports
  • – Shopify (SHOP) – 4 reports
  • – MasTec Inc. (MTZ) – 4 reports
  • – AMC Entertainment (AMC) – 4 reports
  • – Eventbrite (EB) – 4 reports
  • – Equinix (EQIX) – 3 reports
  • – Cummins (CMI) – 3 reports

About Us Testimonials In the News Support Careers General Legal Documentation
Copyright 2025 New Constructs, LLC All Rights Reserved
Registration on or use of this site constitutes acknowledgement of our Disclosures and Disclaimers and acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.