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ORCL

New Constructs
April 20, 20220Comments

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) – 7 reports

See all our reports on Oracle Corporation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 8, 20210Comments

GitLab: Another Overpriced Tech Company

We think this stock could be worth less than $1 billion and that its freemium strategy may never be profitable.
by Alex Sword
Long Idea
January 27, 20210Comments

Micro-Bubbles: Winners & Losers

With analysts warning the S&P 500 is alarmingly high, we’re proposing investors focus more on stocks with quality fundamentals.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
Danger Zone
October 7, 20200Comments

Don’t Get Snowed In by the Hype for This Recent Tech IPO

Investors with fiduciary responsibilities should pause before following the Oracle of Omaha into this stock now.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
Long Idea
January 8, 20200Comments

3 Lagging Long Ideas That We Still Love

We're starting 2020 by looking at the Long Ideas that performed poorly in 2019. Despite their underperformance, we remain bullish on these stocks.
by Sam McBride
July 24, 20190Comments

Micro-Bubble Winners Continue to Outperform

These “Micro-Bubble winners” remain undervalued and we expect them to continue to outperform.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
March 4, 20190Comments

Danger Zone: Traditional Value Investors

Unfortunately, much of what passes for value investing today relies on accounting book value and other metrics whose utility has atrophied significantly over the years.
by Sam McBride
August 16, 20180Comments

Micro-Bubble Winners

This report presents a list of long ideas for stocks that should rise when the micro-bubble stocks we listed in our last report fall.
by Sam McBride
March 5, 20180Comments

This David Stands Little Chance Against Industry Goliaths

As the market matures and competition firmly establishes itself, this firm’s lack of resources and highly negative margins create an uphill battle.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
December 4, 20170Comments

No Recipe for Success: Low Margins in a Competitive Industry

This stock’s valuation has not adjusted to reflect new competitive pressures or the rapidly deteriorating fundamentals.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 20, 20171Comments

Acquiring Revenue Can Quickly Destroy Shareholder Value

This firm moved to bolster its position within its market by acquiring a competitor in 2016, but it paid too high a price. The expected synergies from the deal have not come to fruition and the profitability of the combined firm has fallen instead of rising.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 23, 20170Comments

Market Share Matters Little When Profits Are Disappearing

The risk/reward proposition for investors looks unfavorable due to a combination of industry lagging profitability, alarming expense growth, poorly-aligned executive compensation incentives, and high market-implied expectations for future profits.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 25, 20170Comments

Failure to Adapt Dooms This Stock

This firm’s late transition to the cloud based software market has left it with falling profits, lagging margins, and a significantly overvalued stock.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs
June 28, 20170Comments

Position Close Update: MDLZ, PRGO, ORCL & VZ

Our Long Idea and Danger Zone research reports are part of an ongoing effort to identify hidden gems in the market and help clients avoid portfolio blowups. In this Position Update report, we are closing out two Long Ideas and two Danger Zone picks previously published on the Research Blog.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 3, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Verint Systems (VRNT)

This firm has seen seen margins contract as early success brought more competition. To try and offset competitors taking market share, the firm made numerous shareholder value-destroying acquisitions. Now the stock is pricing in aggressively optimistic improvements in revenue growth and profit margins.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 20, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: LivePerson Inc. (LPSN)

This Danger Zone pick has seen its profitability decline as new competition has entered the scene. As the market commoditized, this firm’s negative margins and limited service offering undermined its ability to compete.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 6, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Tableau Software (DATA)

This stock is on the upswing and is up 23% year-to-date, while the S&P is up just 6%. The fundamentals of the business don’t justify this price move. In fact, negative margins, strong competition, and the overvalued stock price land Tableau Software (DATA) in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
January 16, 20171Comments

Danger Zone: Bottomline Technologies (EPAY)

Red flags appear when a firm sacrifices profitability to join the cloud and transitions to a business model with negative margins. Add in significant competition and an overvalued stock price and investors should be running for the hills.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 21, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: Acxiom Corp (ACXM)

Unfortunately for this firm, profits are falling, competition is rising, and the stock’s valuation is priced for perfection. These issues land Acxiom in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 24, 20161Comments

Danger Zone: PROS Holdings (PRO)

With losses piling up, a weak competitive position, and expectations of tremendous profitability already embedded in the stock price, PROS Holdings is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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