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IBM

April 25, 20250Comments

Watch Our Earnings Recap on IBM, Google, AT&T, PepsiCo, Intel, Southwest, and More

We bring key insights and analysis from our work directly to you in our latest earnings watch party!
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 28, 20230Comments

Reverse DCF Analysis of Tesla, Netflix, and IBM Post Earnings – Stock Trading Pro Podcast

We joined Pete Renzulli on the Stock Trading Pro podcast to discuss the cash flow expectations baked into the stock prices of TSLA, NFLX, and IBM and more.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
October 8, 20210Comments

GitLab: Another Overpriced Tech Company

We think this stock could be worth less than $1 billion and that its freemium strategy may never be profitable.
by Alex Sword
October 12, 20200Comments

Earnings Distortion Scorecard: Week of 10/19/20-10/23/20

For the week of 10/19/20-10/23/20, we focus on the Earnings Distortion Scores for 121 companies.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
October 7, 20200Comments

Don’t Get Snowed In by the Hype for This Recent Tech IPO

Investors with fiduciary responsibilities should pause before following the Oracle of Omaha into this stock now.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
January 13, 20200Comments

Earnings Distortion Scorecard: Week of 1/20/20-1/24/20

For the week of 1/20/20-1/24/20, we focus on the Earnings Distortion scores for 55 companies.
by Sam McBride
September 10, 20190Comments

Pre-IPO Coverage: Cloudflare (NET)

This report aims to help investors sort through Cloudflare’s financial filings to understand the fundamentals and valuation of this IPO.
by Sam McBride
August 23, 20180Comments

This Value-Add Reseller Creates Real Value

This tech firm has a long history of profit growth, prudent capital stewardship, an undervalued stock, and it’s business model creates more value than peers.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
August 22, 20180Comments

Worst Offenders: Pension Discount Rates

This report red flags the firms with the most underfunded pensions and the most aggressive discount rate assumptions for future benefit obligations.
by Sam McBride
June 18, 20182Comments

Worst Offenders: Expected Return On Plan Assets

This report red flags the firms with the most underfunded pensions and the most aggressive assumptions for returns they expect to earn on the pension assets.
by Sam McBride
February 8, 20180Comments

Tax Reform Losers: Companies with Deferred Tax Assets

Most public companies should benefit from the new tax law but some of the biggest losers will be companies with large deferred tax assets (DTAs).
by Sam McBride
February 5, 20180Comments

Competition Taking Market Share Could Sink This Stock

Risk of losing market share, when coupled with highly negative margins, unsustainable cash burn, and a soaring stock price mean this firm lands in the Danger Zone.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
New Constructs Data
January 26, 20181Comments

AI Has a Big (Data) Problem (3 of 5)

We are awash in an ocean of data that grows bigger by the second. And it’s a complete and utter mess.
by Sam McBride
December 4, 20170Comments

No Recipe for Success: Low Margins in a Competitive Industry

This stock’s valuation has not adjusted to reflect new competitive pressures or the rapidly deteriorating fundamentals.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
November 20, 20171Comments

Acquiring Revenue Can Quickly Destroy Shareholder Value

This firm moved to bolster its position within its market by acquiring a competitor in 2016, but it paid too high a price. The expected synergies from the deal have not come to fruition and the profitability of the combined firm has fallen instead of rising.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 25, 20170Comments

Failure to Adapt Dooms This Stock

This firm’s late transition to the cloud based software market has left it with falling profits, lagging margins, and a significantly overvalued stock.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
April 3, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Verint Systems (VRNT)

This firm has seen seen margins contract as early success brought more competition. To try and offset competitors taking market share, the firm made numerous shareholder value-destroying acquisitions. Now the stock is pricing in aggressively optimistic improvements in revenue growth and profit margins.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
March 6, 20170Comments

Danger Zone: Tableau Software (DATA)

This stock is on the upswing and is up 23% year-to-date, while the S&P is up just 6%. The fundamentals of the business don’t justify this price move. In fact, negative margins, strong competition, and the overvalued stock price land Tableau Software (DATA) in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
February 27, 20175Comments

Danger Zone: Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

The fundamentals of this business make it hard to imagine a scenario where this firm can meet the expectations baked into its lofty valuation. For these reasons and more, Palo Alto Networks is in the Danger Zone this week.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
January 16, 20171Comments

Danger Zone: Bottomline Technologies (EPAY)

Red flags appear when a firm sacrifices profitability to join the cloud and transitions to a business model with negative margins. Add in significant competition and an overvalued stock price and investors should be running for the hills.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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