Netflix’s Price Increase Signals Original Content Isn’t Enough

We believe the price increase signifies that Netflix’s competitive advantage has been wiped away. In order to justify its massive original content budget, it must raise prices if it is to ever meet the expectations implied by its stock price.

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See Us On CNBC Discussing Apple @ 3ET Today

Tune into CNBC on Wednesday, August 2 at 3pm EST. New Constructs CEO, David Trainer, will discuss Apple’s business and its current valuation.

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3-Year Average Return on Invested Capital: Explanation & Examples

3-year average return on invested capital (seen in Figure 1) provides additional insights into a firm’s track record of prudent capital management.

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GAAP-Based Return on Invested Capital: Explanation & Examples

GAAP-based ROIC is based on a simplified after-tax profit (NOPAT) and invested capital that can easily be calculated using only the income statement and balance sheet.

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Identifying Good And Bad Activist Investors

There are some genuinely good examples of shareholder activism out there. In the right context, activist investors hold management accountable and play a beneficial role in the market by ensuring that poor corporate governance and strategy don’t persist.

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Free Cash Flow (FCF): Explanation & Examples

There are many ways to calculate free cash flow. Most approaches are short cuts to our more comprehensive approach to the calculation. The formula for FCF can be seen in Figure 1. For more on FCF, see within.

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Economic Earnings: Explanation & Examples

To derive economic earnings, 30+ adjustments must be made to accounting earnings. These adjustments remove items hidden in the footnotes and MD&A of annual filings and close loopholes within GAAP accounting.

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Return On Invested Capital (ROIC): Explanation & Examples

The formula (see Figure 1) for calculating ROIC is easy. The hard part is finding all the data, especially from the footnotes and MD&A, required to get NOPAT and Invested Capital right. When we calculate ROIC, we make numerous adjustments to close accounting loopholes and ensure apples-to-apples comparability across thousands of companies.

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David Trainer Explains Why Suspended Ratings Are In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Danger Zone: Suspended Ratings.

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Danger Zone: Suspended Ratings

We suspend our ratings on certain stocks when we feel the company’s latest reported financials are no longer reliable or indicative of the risk/reward of the stock. For example, an announcement of an acquisition or spin-off means the current financial statements could change significantly.

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4 Reasons ROE Is Not A Useful Metric For Investors

Recently, we ran through the various flaws in the price to earnings ratio and explained why investors need to be paying more attention to return on invested capital (ROIC). This week, we’re tackling another of the market’s favorite metrics, return on equity (ROE). Return on equity has a very simple formula: It’s tempting to think…

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The Market Values High ROIC Companies

Last month, Fortune released its list of the top 50 businesspeople of the year. The recognition these CEO’s are receiving shows that the market cares about ROIC, even if many investors aren’t explicitly talking about it.

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What’s Behind Apple’s Recent Selloff?

New Constructs CEO David Trainer appeared on CNBC’s Closing Bell this afternoon to talk about the future potential of Apple.

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Ranked: Our Top 10 ETFs

The following is a list of our top 10 ETFs that have over $100 million in assets under management (AUM), and that are not leveraged.

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Making a Balance Sheet Useful

We’ve compiled a “Top 11” list of the companies (who have already filed for 2014) with the largest adjustments to their balance sheets across the 11 adjustments we make.

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Do Microsoft Bulls Have A Convincing Case?

MSFT currently earns our Neutral rating, but if new CEO Satya Nadella can halt the company’s declining return on invested capital (ROIC), the stock’s valuation is cheap enough to make it intriguing.

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Amazon’s New Smartphone Spells Trouble for Apple (AAPL)

A high quality smartphone from Amazon that undercuts higher-priced competitors could mean more serious trouble for Apple’s iPhone and the company’s declining profit margins.

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Netflix (NFLX): Even More Dangerous

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Apple’s Declining Advantage is Undeniable

Apple cannot have pricing power and market share at the same time. No one can for an extended period of time. The problem with AAPL is that it is priced for the company to achieve market share penetration and growth at high prices. The reality is that the quality of Apple products versus competitors is declining. Prices will have to come down just to maintain market share.

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CNBC Interview: Confirming AAPL Thesis – Apple Is Still Rotten

Here’s my latest CNBC interview on my Apple (AAPL) thesis, originally articulated in Danger Zone 5/13/2013: Apple Inc. (AAPL).

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