February 25, 20220Comments

ICYMI: 3 Long Ideas Post 4Q21 EPS, GE Cuts Transparency, Trust Fundamentals in Turbulent Markets, & Model Portfolio Updates

Here's what happened at New Constructs this past week.

February 23, 20220Comments

GE Cuts Transparency & More From the Real Earnings Season

We found interesting footnote disclosures in the filings of General Electric (GE) and other companies last week during The Real Earnings Season.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

March 24, 20210Comments

Hidden Items Make Earnings Look Much Better & Other Findings From the Real Earnings Season

We found unusual items in the filings of General Electric (GE) and several other companies during the fourth week of The Real Earnings Season.

by Alex Sword

March 5, 20200Comments

Position Close Update: General Electric (GE)

GE’s declining ROIC and expensive stock price lead us to close out this short-term call.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

January 20, 20200Comments

Earnings Distortion Scorecard: Week of 1/27/20-1/31/20

For the week of 1/27/20-1/31/20, we focus on the Earnings Distortion scores for 127 companies.

by Sam McBride

December 19, 20190Comments

Stocks to Buy Before Earnings Distortion Season: TD Ameritrade Network

We joined TDA Network’s The Watch List on Thursday, December 19 to discuss two stocks with good Earnings Distortion Scores going into earnings season next year.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

December 18, 20190Comments

Two Stocks That Should Beat Earnings Expectations

These two stocks are likely to beat earnings expectations according to our new Earnings Distortion Scores.

by Sam McBride

November 19, 20190Comments

Net Operating Profit After-Tax (NOPAT) & NOPAT Margin

When we calculate NOPAT, we make numerous adjustments to close accounting loopholes and ensure apples-to-apples comparability across thousands of companies.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

September 9, 20192Comments

Free Cash Flow and FCF Yield

As with all things in life, building a solid investment strategy around Free Cash Flow (FCF) is not as simple as it may seem. Here are 3 rules to follow.

by Sam McBride

August 22, 20180Comments

Worst Offenders: Pension Discount Rates

This report red flags the firms with the most underfunded pensions and the most aggressive discount rate assumptions for future benefit obligations.

by Sam McBride

August 1, 20180Comments

CEO’s That Focus on ROIC Outperform

Greater emphasis on ROIC among executives should increase the efficiency of the capital markets and create opportunities for investors to benefit from improved corporate governance.

by Sam McBride

June 18, 20182Comments

Worst Offenders: Expected Return On Plan Assets

This report red flags the firms with the most underfunded pensions and the most aggressive assumptions for returns they expect to earn on the pension assets.

by Sam McBride

May 15, 20170Comments

Consumer Goods Firm With Quality Risk/Reward

With growing profitability, expansion into high margin segments, and a valuation implying permanent profit decline, this stock could significantly outperform moving forward.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 12, 20160Comments

Free Cash Flow (FCF): Explanation & Examples

There are many ways to calculate free cash flow. Most approaches are short cuts to our more comprehensive approach to the calculation. The formula for FCF can be seen in Figure 1. For more on FCF, see within.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 12, 20163Comments

Net Operating Profit After-Tax (NOPAT): Explanation & Examples

We calculate NOPAT in two ways, from an operating and financing perspective. See Figure 1. Figure 1 shows the basic calculations. On page 2, we share the complete calculations for specific companies.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 6, 20160Comments

How General Electric Can Prevent A $125 Billion Decline In Market Value

Based on the linear equation within, the stock is worth ~$18/share if we assume that GE can maintain its current ROIC of 3% and not accelerate growth. That downside translates into a loss of $125 billion in market cap or $13 per share (43%) for investors.

by Sam McBride

January 22, 20160Comments

Don’t Get Snowed In By These Blizzard Stocks

Beyond the absurdity of basing investment decisions on a temporary weather event, these recommendations can be harmful to investors because they involve some stocks with very shaky fundamentals at a time when market volatility makes investing in strong businesses all the more important.

by Sam McBride

January 13, 20160Comments

How Much Quality Is In The “High Quality” ETF?

With the significant drop in the market to start 2016, we can be sure that many investors are looking to shift their portfolios towards higher quality stocks. The challenge is how to define “high-quality” because it is not as straightforward as one might think.

by Sam McBride

November 23, 20150Comments

Danger Zone: Textron, Inc. (TXT)

From non-GAAP accounting to costly acquisitions, it is not difficult for a company to create the illusion of profits. However, eventually reality sets in and the deterioration of a business comes to light. This week’s Danger Zone pick, Textron Inc. (TXT: $42/share), is destroying shareholder value while covering it up with an acquisition that creates the illusion of profits via GAAP net income growth.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 22, 20150Comments

Riskiest Stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has a deserved reputation of only housing the best-of-the-best blue chip stocks. Only the oldest, largest, and most profitable companies are included in the index,

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

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