Luckbox Magazine features our research on Netflix (NFLX) and Disney (DIS) in the May 2019 article: “Disney Vs. Netflix: The Battle for Big Media”.
Luckbox is a new financial magazine
The noise-trader momentum driving the stock is evaporating, the company’s mounting (and increasingly expensive) debt poses a significant near term liquidity risk, and the bull case is full of holes.
By leveraging our Robo-Analyst technology to parse and analyze company filings, including the footnotes and MD&A, we have identified companies with multiple years of after-tax profit growth and above average returns on invested capital.
In our long thesis on Disney in January, we wrote that there were four key catalysts that could help the stock overcome ESPN fears and break out of its rut. After a down year, Disney looks poised to deliver significant returns for shareholders.
We believe the price increase signifies that Netflix’s competitive advantage has been wiped away. In order to justify its massive original content budget, it must raise prices if it is to ever meet the expectations implied by its stock price.
Investors should capitalize on the opportunity provided by Disney’s streaming service announcement and the market’s overreaction to earnings. Buy into a great company at an attractive valuation (Disney) and sell an overvalued company with holes in its business model (Netflix).
Our Exec Comp Aligned With ROIC Model Portfolio (-0.7%) underperformed the S&P 500 (+0.2%) last month. Since inception, this model portfolio is up 22% while the S&P 500 is up 9%.
While we’ve taken issue with many of the large acquisitions in 2016, this deal not only passes the economics test, but also creates a combined firm with a strategic focus on the future.
In this special report, we identify and provide specific examples of the red flags you should be on the lookout for when activist investors begin building a large position in a company.
Investors should not be surprised that Netflix lowered guidance for subscriber growth for Q2 after announcing that many long-time users will face price increases starting in May.