February 14, 20220Comments

The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes (Feb 2022)

Quarterly earnings season may be winding down, but the real earnings season – annual 10-K filing season – is ramping up

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 14, 20220Comments

Podcast: Why Ignoring Footnotes Could Land Your Portfolio in The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time to Read Filings & Footnotes.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

October 4, 20210Comments

No Innovation, Just Overvaluation

With market share on the decline, possible regulatory oversight on the horizon, and significant competition, profits look highly unlikely.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

October 4, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why This Consumer Lending Fintech Is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: No Innovation, Just Overvaluation.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

March 26, 20210Comments

Bitcoin – The Latest Tool to Manage Earnings

This report highlights the latest loophole, Bitcoin, how its recorded in company’s financial statements, and how we treat Bitcoin.

by Alex Sword

March 10, 20210Comments

The Real Winner of the Fintech Micro-Bubble

We think investors are not seeing the value in how this firm is leveraging technology to strengthen its deep competitive advantages over fintech start-ups.

by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II

November 16, 20200Comments

18 Stocks No Longer in the Danger Zone: Position Close Updates

From taking gains in successful short calls, to closing out positions that went wrong, this report updates and closes multiple prior Danger Zone picks.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

November 16, 20200Comments

Podcast: Why We Closed These Previous Danger Zone Picks

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: 18 Stocks No Longer in the Danger Zone: Position Close Updates.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

July 27, 20200Comments

Earnings Distortion Scorecard: Week of 8/3/20-8/7/20

For the week of 8/3/20-8/7/20, we focus on the Earnings Distortion Scores for 116 companies.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

April 27, 20200Comments

Earnings Distortion Scorecard: Week of 5/4/20-5/8/20

For the week of 5/4/20-5/8/20, we focus on the Earnings Distortion Scores for 112 companies.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

December 15, 20163Comments

Trivago (TRVG) – Let This IPO Travel Alone

The stock (at the midpoint of its IPO range) gets our Dangerous rating, and we advise caution when considering an investment in it for the following reasons.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 19, 20160Comments

Danger Zone Performance Worth Noting

The market awards the most value to the companies that give the most back. It punishes those that do not create value. Figure 1 shows how well our Danger Zone picks have done.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 10, 20160Comments

Price Target Update: Square Inc. (SQ)

Due to change in market mentality, and in light of the recent downturn in the market, we felt it time to revise our price target for Square Inc. (SQ)

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

February 8, 20165Comments

Danger Zone: Pure Storage (PSTG)

This week’s Danger Zone hones in on another IPO from 2015 that may have been one of the last to capitalize on the easy money in the market. Post IPO, we believe it won’t take long for investors to realize this company is bleeding cash, has no profits, and faces stiff competition moving forward.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

January 12, 20160Comments

Finding Safe Investments In A Dangerous Market Webinar

While trading fads come and go, good fundamental research is required to fulfill your fiduciary duties to your clients and yourself. Without it, realize it or not, you take significant risk that the numbers you use to make a decision are not correct.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

December 11, 20150Comments

David Trainer Explains Why Square Belongs In The Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life and MarketWatch.com to talk about our Danger Zone pick this past week: Square, Inc. (SQ)

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

December 7, 20152Comments

Danger Zone: Square, Inc. (SQ)

Recent IPO Square (SQ) is in the Danger Zone this week despite its noble cause of providing payment solutions for small to medium businesses because it checks many of the Danger Zone boxes: questionable non-GAAP accounting, non-competitive business models, and an extremely risky valuation.

by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA

November 19, 20150Comments

Two Ways Venture Capitalists Burn IPO Investors

Structured deals help fuel the bubble in private tech companies. Startups get cash so they can keep marketing like crazy, VCs get guaranteed payouts, and everyone gets the prestige and attention of being a “unicorn”. So who suffers? IPO investors that are tricked into believing these massive valuations have any basis in reality.

by Sam McBride